LaLiga
Barcelona vs Getafe prediction: LaLiga, Saturday 10 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Barcelona host Getafe in LaLiga on Saturday 10 October, kick-off 19:30 EAT. The match is played at Camp Nou (Barcelona). Barcelona are 1st in the table with 21 points from 7 games; Getafe are 11th with 8.
Our tips for this match
- Barcelona to win · 86% · Fair odds 1.17 · MegaPari 1.07
- Barcelona or draw · 96% · Fair odds 1.04
- Over 1.5 goals · 78% · Fair odds 1.28 · MegaPari 1.02
- Over 2.5 goals · 67% · Fair odds 1.49 · MegaPari 1.18
Who will win Barcelona vs Getafe?
The model makes Barcelona clear favourites at 86%, with the draw at 10% and Getafe at 4%. MegaPari's 1.07 on Barcelona is shorter than our fair price of 1.17: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.
Four markets clear our thresholds for this match: Barcelona to win (86%), Barcelona or draw (96%), over 1.5 goals (78%) and over 2.5 goals (67%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | MegaPari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona to win Tip | 86% | 1.17 | 1.07 |
| Draw | 10% | 9.89 | 17.50 |
| Getafe to win | 4% | 24.21 | 45.00 |
| Barcelona or draw Tip | 96% | 1.04 | – |
| Draw or Getafe | 14% | 7.02 | – |
| Barcelona or Getafe | 90% | 1.11 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals Tip | 78% | 1.28 | 1.02 |
| Over 2.5 goals Tip | 67% | 1.49 | 1.18 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 33% | 3.04 | 4.15 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 66% | 1.52 | 2.39 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 45% | 2.24 | 2.21 |
| Both teams to score: no | 55% | 1.80 | 1.61 |
Odds: MegaPari, as of 7 October 2026, 05:05 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Barcelona vs Getafe
Goals are expected: 2.5 for Barcelona and 0.6 for Getafe, 3.0 in all, which puts over 2.5 goals at 67%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 45%.
Barcelona vs Getafe correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 2-0 at 15%, ahead of 3-0 (12%) and 1-0 (12%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 7 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 2-0 | 14.8% | 6.77 |
| 3-0 | 12.2% | 8.18 |
| 1-0 | 11.6% | 8.59 |
| 2-1 | 8.2% | 12.20 |
| 4-0 | 7.6% | 13.18 |
Form: Barcelona and Getafe in their last five
Barcelona have won all of their last 5, scoring 24 and conceding 6. Getafe have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -1. The results cover every competition in our data.
Barcelona: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | Sevilla (away)LaLiga | 3-1 | W |
| 16 Sep 2026 | Racing de Santander (home)LaLiga | 7-2 | W |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Levante UD (away)LaLiga | 4-2 | W |
| 9 Sep 2026 | Feyenoord (home)UEFA Champions League | 5-1 | W |
| 6 Sep 2026 | Valencia (away)LaLiga | 5-0 | W |
Getafe: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2026 | Malaga (home)LaLiga | 1-0 | W |
| 17 Sep 2026 | Real Betis (away)LaLiga | 0-1 | L |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Deportivo de A Coruna (home)LaLiga | 1-1 | D |
| 7 Sep 2026 | Celta Vigo (home)LaLiga | 1-1 | D |
| 31 Aug 2026 | CA Osasuna (away)LaLiga | 0-1 | L |
Barcelona vs Getafe head to head
In their last five meetings in our data, Barcelona won 4, Getafe won none and 1 was drawn. The most recent, on 25 April 2026, finished Getafe 0–2 Barcelona.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr 2026 | Getafe – BarcelonaLaLiga | 0-2 |
| 21 Sep 2025 | Barcelona – GetafeLaLiga | 3-0 |
| 18 Jan 2025 | Getafe – BarcelonaLaLiga | 1-1 |
| 25 Sep 2024 | Barcelona – GetafeLaLiga | 1-0 |
| 24 Feb 2024 | Barcelona – GetafeLaLiga | 4-0 |
The rest of LaLiga is on our La Liga page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with MegaPari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is MegaPari.
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