HT/FT prediction: all nine half time/full time outcomes, priced for every match
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Half time/full time asks two questions on one slip: who is ahead at the break, and who has won after 90 minutes. There are nine possible answers, and this page prices all of them for every match the model rates. For each fixture today and tomorrow you see the likeliest outcome with its probability, the next two, and the scores once the match is played. Below that sit the few HT/FT tips that cleared the bar and how they have settled. The numbers change four times a day; the explanation stays the same.
HT/FT prediction today: every rated match
| Kick-off | Match | Likeliest | Next two | HT, FT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Olimpia – Club Nacional AsuncionParaguayan Primera División | 1/1 22% | X/X 19% · 2/2 17% | 0-1, 1-1 | |
| Sport Club do Recife – Sao BernardoBrasileirão Série B | 1/1 27% | X/1 17% · X/X 16% | 1-0, 2-1 | |
| Goias Esporte Clube – Athletic Club MGBrasileirão Série B | 1/1 27% | X/X 19% · X/1 18% | 0-0, 2-1 | |
| Chicago Fire – Vancouver WhitecapsMLS | 2/2 27% | 1/1 18% · X/2 14% | – | |
| Associacao Atletica Ponte Preta – Esporte Clube JuventudeBrasileirão Série B | 2/2 42% | X/2 25% · X/X 16% | Pending | |
| Maroons – LugaziUganda Premier League | 1/1 29% | X/X 24% · X/1 21% | – | |
| Shooting Stars – Kano PillarsNigeria Premier Football League | 1/1 36% | X/1 21% · X/X 17% | – | |
| Gnistan – Inter TurkuVeikkausliiga | 2/2 27% | X/2 17% · X/X 16% | – |
The first sign is the result at half time, the second at full time: 1 is a home lead or win, X a draw, 2 an away lead or win. X/1 means level at the break and a home win. The nine combinations of each match add up to 100%.
How the nine outcomes settle
Read the first sign at half time and the second at full time. A match that is 1-0 at the break and 2-1 at the end is 1/1. A goalless first half followed by a 1-0 home win is X/1. A home lead at half time that turns into a 1-2 defeat is 1/2, the reversal that pays the longest odds. Only the 90-minute score counts, so extra time and penalties never change an HT/FT bet.
Why X at half time is so common
The model splits each team's expected goals between the halves, with 42% in the first and a small correction for level scores at the break. Fewer goals before the interval means more first halves end level, so X/1, X/X and X/2 together often carry a large share of a match's probability even when one side is a clear favourite.
The full-time part is then scaled to agree with the match result shown elsewhere on the site. Add 1/1, X/1 and 2/1 for a fixture and you get its home win probability from the 1X2 predictions page. Where bookmaker odds are available, their blend reaches HT/FT only through that match result.
Fair odds are 1 ÷ probability. An outcome at 45% has fair odds of about 2.22; a price above that is longer than the model's view, a price below it shorter.
HT/FT tips for today
| Kick-off | Match | Tip | Probability | Fair odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Associacao Atletica Ponte Preta – Esporte Clube JuventudeBrasileirão Série B | HT/FT 2/2 | 42% | 2.37 | Pending |
When a tip appears, and what it is worth
A tip is printed only when the likeliest of the nine outcomes reaches 40%. In practice that is almost always 1/1 or 2/2 for a clear favourite, and most matches get no tip at all. Even a tip at the bar loses more often than it wins, so treat it as a single at a fair price, not as a banker. Two HT/FT legs at 45% each land together only about one time in five.
What the numbers cannot see
The ratings are fitted on final scores and nothing else: no line-ups, no news. The model does not know that a favourite is resting players after a midweek trip, which often means a slow first half and a late winner. It cannot see a side that needs only a draw and sits deep after scoring, a waterlogged pitch that slows both halves, or a red card before the interval. When you know any of these, weigh them above the table.
HT/FT prediction tomorrow
| Kick-off | Match | Likeliest | Next two | HT, FT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sport Club Internacional – Corinthians PaulistaBrasileirão Série A | 1/1 23% | X/X 20% · X/1 16% | – | |
| Clube do Remo – Gremio Porto AlegrenseBrasileirão Série A | 1/1 24% | 2/2 18% · X/X 15% | – | |
| Red Bull Bragantino – MirassolBrasileirão Série A | 1/1 27% | X/1 18% · X/X 17% | – | |
| Avai – LondrinaBrasileirão Série B | 1/1 28% | X/1 16% · X/X 16% | – | |
| Operario Ferroviario – Botafogo Ribeirao PretoBrasileirão Série B | 1/1 32% | X/1 18% · X/X 16% | – | |
| EC Vitoria Salvador – ChapecoenseBrasileirão Série A | 1/1 29% | X/1 18% · X/X 16% | – | |
| Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas – CR Vasco da GamaBrasileirão Série A | 1/1 27% | 2/2 17% · X/1 14% | – | |
| America Minas Gerais – Fortaleza ECBrasileirão Série B | 2/2 27% | X/X 21% · X/2 19% | – | |
| CRB Maceio – Atletico Clube GoianienseBrasileirão Série B | 1/1 25% | X/X 18% · X/1 17% | – | |
| Vila Nova – CuiabaBrasileirão Série B | 1/1 24% | X/X 22% · X/1 17% | – | |
| Cruzeiro Esporte Clube – Sao PauloBrasileirão Série A | 1/1 31% | X/1 18% · X/X 17% | – | |
| NEC – ExpressUganda Premier League | 1/1 37% | X/1 23% · X/X 18% | – | |
| UPDF – BULUganda Premier League | 2/2 22% | X/X 22% · X/2 16% | – | |
| Pamba Jiji – Geita GoldTanzanian Premier League | 2/2 25% | X/X 17% · 1/1 16% | – | |
| HJK – Vaasan PalloseuraVeikkausliiga | 1/1 33% | X/1 19% · X/X 14% | – | |
| Namungo – TRA UnitedTanzanian Premier League | X/X 25% | 1/1 20% · X/1 16% | – | |
| KuPS – OuluVeikkausliiga | 1/1 36% | X/1 21% · X/X 16% | – | |
| CFR Cluj – Universitatea ClujRomanian Liga I | 1/1 25% | 2/2 17% · X/X 16% | – | |
| Deportivo Moquegua – Club Cienciano CuscoPeruvian Liga 1 | 2/2 24% | 1/1 17% · X/X 17% | – | |
| Coastal Union – AzamTanzanian Premier League | 2/2 29% | X/X 21% · X/2 20% | – | |
| Shamrock Rovers – Drogheda UnitedLeague of Ireland Premier Division | 1/1 38% | X/1 21% · X/X 14% | – | |
| Atletico Grau – Deportivo Los ChankasPeruvian Liga 1 | 1/1 32% | X/1 20% · X/X 17% | – |
The first sign is the result at half time, the second at full time: 1 is a home lead or win, X a draw, 2 an away lead or win. X/1 means level at the break and a home win. The nine combinations of each match add up to 100%.
How to read this, and how we check it
Every number here comes from the Dixon–Coles adjusted Poisson model described on the methodology page, the same one behind the correct score prediction tables. Kick-off times are shown in East Africa Time and converted to your local time by the site; Nigeria (WAT) is two hours behind EAT and Ghana three hours behind.
HT/FT tips are logged before kick-off, frozen at kick-off and settled from the half-time and 90-minute scores. A tip is void if no half-time score arrives within three days. They are counted on their own below, not in the headline figures on the track record page.
Betting on HT/FT with a clear head
Two results have to go your way, so losing runs are normal. Any bet can lose. Keep stakes small, never add legs to win back a lost slip, and read the responsible gambling page if betting stops being fun. This site is for adults aged 18+ only.
HT/FT tips settled in the last 30 days
No tip of this market has been settled in this period yet.
HT/FT tips are logged before kick-off like every other tip and settled from the half-time and final scores. They are counted here on their own, not in the site's overall record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is MegaPari.
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Frequently asked questions
What does HT/FT mean?
HT/FT, also written halftime/fulltime, is one bet on two results. The first sign is the score at half time, the second the score after 90 minutes. 1 is the home side ahead, X level, 2 the away side ahead, so 1/1 means the home team leads at the break and wins, and X/2 means level at the break and an away win.
Do you give 1/2 and 2/1 tips for today?
No. A team leading at half time and losing the match is one of the rarest of the nine outcomes, and in the model it never comes close to the 40% needed for a tip. The big odds on 1/2 and 2/1 reflect how seldom they happen. If you back one, stake as if you expect to lose, because most of the time you will.
Are these expert or correct HT/FT tips?
They come from a statistical model, not from tipsters, and no HT/FT tip is ever certain. What we can show is whether the numbers are honest. On 7,782 past matches, outcomes rated 40% or more landed 47% of the time against 48% predicted, and every new tip is settled in public on this page.
Why does a match in the table have no HT/FT tip?
Most matches never reach the 40% bar, so the table shows their numbers without a tip. Matches in the Kenyan, Tanzanian, Ugandan and Zambian leagues and the CAF cups get the numbers but never a tip, because our data for them has no half-time score and the tip could not be settled. Teams with fewer than eight matches in the data are skipped too.
How often does the HT/FT prediction for today change?
The data is refreshed four times a day, at about 02:00, 09:00, 14:00 and 20:40 UTC, and the tables follow. Tomorrow's list is an early view that moves as today's results come in and as bookmaker odds open for more matches.