Match predictions: one page for every fixture this week

Every match in the Premier League, LaLiga, Serie A, the Bundesliga, Ligue 1 and the three UEFA club competitions gets its own page here as soon as it enters our seven-day window. Each page holds the full set of numbers the model produces for that one fixture, which the daily lists only show in part: the probabilities of a home win, a draw and an away win, every goals market we price, the five likeliest scores, both clubs' recent results, their meetings in the last three seasons and the bookmaker's prices next to our fair odds.

Upcoming matches with a prediction page

Friday 9 October

Saturday 10 October

Sunday 11 October

Monday 12 October

Tuesday 13 October

What you will find on a match page

The page opens with the tips that clear our thresholds for that match, or says plainly that none does. A match without a tip is not a match without an opinion: the model still prices every outcome, and the table of markets shows all of it, from double chance to under 3.5 goals. Below the numbers come the facts they rest on. Form covers the last five results in every competition in our data, so a club that has just played in Europe shows that match too. The head to head lists their meetings over the last three seasons, and when the bookmaker's price has moved since the line opened, the page shows by how much.

A match page changes four times a day until kick-off, as results elsewhere and fresh odds feed the model. At kick-off it stops changing. After the final whistle the score is added next to the prediction, and every tip on the page is settled exactly as it is in our track record. The page stays up for three days after the match and then makes way for the next fixtures.

Which matches get a page

For now the pages cover the competitions with the deepest data behind them. The African leagues on the site, from the Kenyan Premier League to the NPFL, are priced every day on today's predictions and in the mathematical prediction table, but they do not have match pages yet. Clubs with fewer than eight matches in our data get no page, because the model cannot rate them yet.

Recently played: the prediction next to the result

No matches in these competitions over the next few days yet. The list refreshes four times a day.