Premier League
Coventry City vs Newcastle prediction: Premier League, Monday 12 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Coventry City host Newcastle in the Premier League on Monday 12 October, kick-off 22:00 EAT. The match is played at Ricoh Arena (Coventry). Coventry City are 18th in the table with 3 points from 5 games; Newcastle are 9th with 8.
Our tips for this match
- Over 1.5 goals · 79% · Fair odds 1.26 · MegaPari 1.17
- Both teams to score: yes · 59% · Fair odds 1.70 · MegaPari 1.54
Who will win Coventry City vs Newcastle?
Newcastle are favourites, though not by much: 46% to win, 25% for the draw and 29% for Coventry City. MegaPari's 2.18 on Newcastle sits right on our fair price of 2.16.
Two markets clear our thresholds for this match: over 1.5 goals (79%) and both teams to score: yes (59%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | MegaPari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Coventry City to win | 29% | 3.50 | 3.45 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.98 | 3.75 |
| Newcastle to win | 46% | 2.16 | 2.18 |
| Coventry City or draw | 54% | 1.86 | 1.76 |
| Draw or Newcastle | 71% | 1.40 | 1.36 |
| Coventry City or Newcastle | 75% | 1.34 | 1.32 |
| Over 1.5 goals Tip | 79% | 1.26 | 1.17 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 1.74 | 1.72 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 43% | 2.35 | 2.30 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.54 | 1.44 |
| Both teams to score: yes Tip | 59% | 1.70 | 1.54 |
| Both teams to score: no | 41% | 2.44 | 2.35 |
Odds: MegaPari, as of 7 October 2026, 05:05 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Coventry City vs Newcastle
Expected goals are 1.3 for Coventry City and 1.8 for Newcastle, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 57%. Both teams score in this match with a probability of 59%.
Coventry City vs Newcastle correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 11%, ahead of 1-2 (9%) and 0-1 (7%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 9 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 10.9% | 9.15 |
| 1-2 | 9.4% | 10.67 |
| 0-1 | 7.4% | 13.51 |
| 2-1 | 7.1% | 14.16 |
| 0-2 | 7.0% | 14.35 |
Form: Coventry City and Newcastle in their last five
Coventry City have won 1 and lost 4 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -9. Newcastle have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +0. The results cover every competition in our data.
Coventry City: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | Nottingham Forest (away)Premier League | 1-0 | W |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Brighton (home)Premier League | 0-5 | L |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Man City (away)Premier League | 0-1 | L |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Hull City (home)Premier League | 0-1 | L |
| 21 Aug 2026 | Arsenal (away)Premier League | 0-3 | L |
Newcastle: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | Hull City (home)Premier League | 2-1 | W |
| 14 Sep 2026 | Leeds (away)Premier League | 1-4 | L |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Bournemouth (home)Premier League | 2-2 | D |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Tottenham (away)Premier League | 2-0 | W |
| 23 Aug 2026 | Liverpool (home)Premier League | 2-2 | D |
Coventry City vs Newcastle head to head
Coventry City and Newcastle have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.
The rest of the Premier League is on our Premier League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with MegaPari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is MegaPari.
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