Premier League
Hull City vs Everton prediction: Premier League, Sunday 11 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Hull City host Everton in the Premier League on Sunday 11 October, kick-off 16:00 EAT. The match is played at MKM Stadium (Kingston upon Hull). Hull City are 8th in the table with 8 points from 5 games; Everton are 7th with 9.
Our tips for this match
- Under 3.5 goals · 79% · Fair odds 1.27 · MegaPari 1.23
Who will win Hull City vs Everton?
Everton are favourites, though not by much: 46% to win, 29% for the draw and 25% for Hull City. MegaPari's 2.12 on Everton sits right on our fair price of 2.17.
One market clears our thresholds for this match: under 3.5 goals (79%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | MegaPari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hull City to win | 25% | 3.98 | 3.84 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.47 | 3.54 |
| Everton to win | 46% | 2.17 | 2.12 |
| Hull City or draw | 54% | 1.86 | 1.81 |
| Draw or Everton | 75% | 1.34 | 1.31 |
| Hull City or Everton | 71% | 1.40 | 1.34 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68% | 1.46 | 1.32 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 2.26 | 2.17 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 56% | 1.79 | 1.81 |
| Under 3.5 goals Tip | 79% | 1.27 | 1.23 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 49% | 2.03 | 1.85 |
| Both teams to score: no | 51% | 1.98 | 1.87 |
Odds: MegaPari, as of 7 October 2026, 05:05 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Hull City vs Everton
Expected goals are 0.9 for Hull City and 1.3 for Everton, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 44%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 49%.
Hull City vs Everton correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 0-1 at 14%, ahead of 1-1 (13%) and 0-0 (12%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 7 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | 14.5% | 6.91 |
| 1-1 | 13.5% | 7.42 |
| 0-0 | 12.2% | 8.18 |
| 0-2 | 9.6% | 10.40 |
| 1-0 | 9.6% | 10.43 |
Form: Hull City and Everton in their last five
Hull City have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +2. Everton are unbeaten in 5 (2 wins, 3 draws), with 6 goals scored and 3 conceded. The results cover every competition in our data.
Hull City: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | Newcastle (away)Premier League | 1-2 | L |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Chelsea (away)Premier League | 2-2 | D |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Aston Villa (home)Premier League | 0-0 | D |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Coventry City (away)Premier League | 1-0 | W |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Man United (home)Premier League | 2-0 | W |
Everton: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | Ipswich Town (home)Premier League | 1-0 | W |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Tottenham (away)Premier League | 0-0 | D |
| 6 Sep 2026 | Man United (home)Premier League | 2-2 | D |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Bournemouth (away)Premier League | 1-1 | D |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Crystal Palace (home)Premier League | 2-0 | W |
Hull City vs Everton head to head
Hull City and Everton have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.
The rest of the Premier League is on our Premier League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with MegaPari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is MegaPari.
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