Premier League
Ipswich Town vs Fulham prediction: Premier League, Saturday 10 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Ipswich Town host Fulham in the Premier League on Saturday 10 October, kick-off 17:00 EAT. The match is played at Portman Road (Ipswich). Ipswich Town are 11th in the table with 6 points from 5 games; Fulham are 19th with 2.
Our tips for this match
No tip: no market clears our thresholds for this match.
Who will win Ipswich Town vs Fulham?
There is little to separate the sides: Ipswich Town 33%, the draw 27%, Fulham 40%. MegaPari's 2.53 on Fulham sits right on our fair price of 2.50.
No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | MegaPari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ipswich Town to win | 33% | 3.02 | 2.90 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.72 | 3.63 |
| Fulham to win | 40% | 2.50 | 2.53 |
| Ipswich Town or draw | 60% | 1.67 | 1.59 |
| Draw or Fulham | 67% | 1.50 | 1.47 |
| Ipswich Town or Fulham | 73% | 1.37 | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 1.33 | 1.19 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.89 | 1.81 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.13 | 2.15 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 71% | 1.42 | 1.38 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | 1.77 | 1.58 |
| Both teams to score: no | 43% | 2.31 | 2.26 |
Odds: MegaPari, as of 7 October 2026, 05:05 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Ipswich Town vs Fulham
Expected goals are 1.3 for Ipswich Town and 1.4 for Fulham, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 53%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 57%.
Ipswich Town vs Fulham correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 13%, ahead of 0-1 (9%) and 1-2 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 12.7% | 7.90 |
| 0-1 | 9.2% | 10.88 |
| 1-2 | 8.8% | 11.35 |
| 1-0 | 7.9% | 12.64 |
| 2-1 | 7.6% | 13.07 |
Form: Ipswich Town and Fulham in their last five
Ipswich Town have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -4. Fulham have not won in 5 (2 draws, 3 defeats) and scored 5 in that run. The results cover every competition in our data.
Ipswich Town: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | Everton (away)Premier League | 0-1 | L |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Crystal Palace (away)Premier League | 3-2 | W |
| 4 Sep 2026 | Liverpool (home)Premier League | 0-2 | L |
| 30 Aug 2026 | Man United (away)Premier League | 2-5 | L |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Sunderland (home)Premier League | 2-1 | W |
Fulham: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2026 | Man United (home)Premier League | 1-1 | D |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Liverpool (away)Premier League | 0-0 | D |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Crystal Palace (home)Premier League | 2-3 | L |
| 30 Aug 2026 | Sunderland (away)Premier League | 0-1 | L |
| 24 Aug 2026 | Chelsea (home)Premier League | 2-3 | L |
Ipswich Town vs Fulham head to head
In their last two meetings in our data, Ipswich Town won none, Fulham won none and 2 were drawn. The most recent, on 5 January 2025, finished Fulham 2–2 Ipswich Town.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 5 Jan 2025 | Fulham – Ipswich TownPremier League | 2-2 |
| 31 Aug 2024 | Ipswich Town – FulhamPremier League | 1-1 |
How the odds have moved
MegaPari's price on Fulham has shortened from 2.63 to 2.53 since the line opened: the market has moved towards them. Over 2.5 goals has moved from 1.83 to 1.81, so the market now expects more goals than at the open.
| Bet | Opening odds | Latest odds |
|---|---|---|
| Ipswich Town to win | 2.79 | 2.90 ↑ |
| Draw | 3.62 | 3.63 ↑ |
| Fulham to win | 2.63 | 2.53 ↓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.83 | 1.81 ↓ |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.14 | 2.15 ↑ |
| Both teams to score: yes | 1.59 | 1.58 ↓ |
| Both teams to score: no | 2.24 | 2.26 ↑ |
Prices from MegaPari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.
The rest of the Premier League is on our Premier League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with MegaPari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is MegaPari.
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