LaLiga
Levante UD vs Sevilla prediction: LaLiga, Monday 12 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Levante UD host Sevilla in LaLiga on Monday 12 October, kick-off 22:00 EAT. The match is played at Ciudad de Valencia (Valencia). Levante UD are 17th in the table with 5 points from 6 games; Sevilla are 5th with 13.
Our tips for this match
No tip: no market clears our thresholds for this match.
Who will win Levante UD vs Sevilla?
There is little to separate the sides: Levante UD 41%, the draw 27%, Sevilla 32%. MegaPari pays 2.74 on Levante UD, more than our fair price of 2.45.
No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | MegaPari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Levante UD to win | 41% | 2.45 | 2.74 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.65 | 3.41 |
| Sevilla to win | 32% | 3.15 | 2.79 |
| Levante UD or draw | 68% | 1.47 | 1.50 |
| Draw or Sevilla | 59% | 1.69 | 1.51 |
| Levante UD or Sevilla | 73% | 1.38 | 1.36 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 | 1.30 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 2.01 | 2.11 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50% | 1.99 | 1.84 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 70% | 1.43 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | 1.86 | 1.76 |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | 2.16 | 1.97 |
Odds: MegaPari, as of 7 October 2026, 05:05 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Levante UD vs Sevilla
Expected goals are 1.6 for Levante UD and 1.2 for Sevilla, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 50%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 54%.
Levante UD vs Sevilla correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 12%, ahead of 1-0 (9%) and 2-1 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 12.3% | 8.15 |
| 1-0 | 9.4% | 10.60 |
| 2-1 | 9.3% | 10.75 |
| 2-0 | 7.8% | 12.82 |
| 1-2 | 7.0% | 14.22 |
Form: Levante UD and Sevilla in their last five
Levante UD have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -1. Sevilla have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -2. The results cover every competition in our data.
Levante UD: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2026 | Villarreal (away)LaLiga | 1-3 | L |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Barcelona (home)LaLiga | 2-4 | L |
| 6 Sep 2026 | Malaga (away)LaLiga | 0-0 | D |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Real Betis (home)LaLiga | 5-2 | W |
| 24 Aug 2026 | CA Osasuna (away)LaLiga | 0-0 | D |
Sevilla: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | Barcelona (home)LaLiga | 1-3 | L |
| 16 Sep 2026 | Deportivo de A Coruna (away)LaLiga | 1-0 | W |
| 11 Sep 2026 | Valencia (home)LaLiga | 1-0 | W |
| 6 Sep 2026 | Espanyol (away)LaLiga | 1-1 | D |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Atlético Madrid (home)LaLiga | 1-3 | L |
Levante UD vs Sevilla head to head
In their last two meetings in our data, Levante UD won 2, Sevilla won none and none was drawn. The most recent, on 23 April 2026, finished Levante UD 2–0 Sevilla.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr 2026 | Levante UD – SevillaLaLiga | 2-0 |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Sevilla – Levante UDLaLiga | 0-3 |
The rest of LaLiga is on our La Liga page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with MegaPari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is MegaPari.
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