Man United vs Tottenham prediction: Premier League, Saturday 10 October

Man United host Tottenham in the Premier League on Saturday 10 October, kick-off 19:30 EAT. The match is played at Old Trafford (Manchester). Man United are 12th in the table with 5 points from 5 games; Tottenham are 20th with 2.

Our tips for this match

• Man United to win · 56% · Fair odds 1.78 · MegaPari 1.76
• Over 1.5 goals · 80% · Fair odds 1.25 · MegaPari 1.09
• Over 2.5 goals · 61% · Fair odds 1.64 · MegaPari 1.45
• Both teams to score: yes · 60% · Fair odds 1.68 · MegaPari 1.49

Who will win Man United vs Tottenham?

Man United are favourites, though not by much: 56% to win, 23% for the draw and 21% for Tottenham. MegaPari's 1.76 on Man United sits right on our fair price of 1.78.

Four markets clear our thresholds for this match: Man United to win (56%), over 1.5 goals (80%), over 2.5 goals (61%) and both teams to score: yes (60%).

Odds: MegaPari, as of 7 October 2026, 05:05 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Man United vs Tottenham

Goals are expected: 2.0 for Man United and 1.2 for Tottenham, 3.2 in all, which puts over 2.5 goals at 61%. Both teams score in this match with a probability of 60%.

Man United vs Tottenham correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 10%, ahead of 2-1 (10%) and 2-0 (8%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 10 matches like this one.

Form: Man United and Tottenham in their last five

Man United have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +6. Tottenham have not won in 5 (2 draws, 3 defeats) and scored 2 in that run. The results cover every competition in our data.

Man United: last five matches

Tottenham: last five matches

Man United vs Tottenham head to head

In their last six meetings in our data, Man United won 1, Tottenham won 3 and 2 were drawn. The most recent, on 7 February 2026, finished Man United 2–0 Tottenham.

The rest of the Premier League is on our Premier League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with MegaPari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.