Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart prediction: Bundesliga, Saturday 10 October

Paderborn 07 host VfB Stuttgart in the Bundesliga on Saturday 10 October, kick-off 16:30 EAT. The match is played at Home Deluxe Arena (Paderborn). Paderborn 07 are 12th in the table with 4 points from 4 games; VfB Stuttgart are 15th with 3.

Our tips for this match

• VfB Stuttgart to win · 56% · Fair odds 1.79 · MegaPari 1.64
• Over 1.5 goals · 78% · Fair odds 1.27 · MegaPari 1.05
• Over 2.5 goals · 63% · Fair odds 1.60 · MegaPari 1.34
• Both teams to score: yes · 61% · Fair odds 1.65 · MegaPari 1.43

Who will win Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart?

VfB Stuttgart are favourites, though not by much: 56% to win, 22% for the draw and 22% for Paderborn 07. MegaPari's 1.64 on VfB Stuttgart is shorter than our fair price of 1.79: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.

Four markets clear our thresholds for this match: VfB Stuttgart to win (56%), over 1.5 goals (78%), over 2.5 goals (63%) and both teams to score: yes (61%).

Odds: MegaPari, as of 7 October 2026, 05:05 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart

Goals are expected: 1.2 for Paderborn 07 and 1.8 for VfB Stuttgart, 3.0 in all, which puts over 2.5 goals at 63%. Both teams score in this match with a probability of 61%.

Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 11%, ahead of 1-2 (10%) and 0-1 (8%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 9 matches like this one.

Form: Paderborn 07 and VfB Stuttgart in their last five

Paderborn 07 have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +0. VfB Stuttgart have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -1. The results cover every competition in our data.

Paderborn 07: last five matches

VfB Stuttgart: last five matches

Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart head to head

Paderborn 07 and VfB Stuttgart have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.

The rest of the Bundesliga is on our Bundesliga page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with MegaPari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.