Racing de Santander vs Valencia prediction: LaLiga, Sunday 11 October

Racing de Santander host Valencia in LaLiga on Sunday 11 October, kick-off 22:00 EAT. The match is played at Campos de Sport de El Sardinero (Santander). Racing de Santander are 16th in the table with 7 points from 7 games; Valencia are 19th with 4.

Our tips for this match

• Over 1.5 goals · 82% · Fair odds 1.22 · MegaPari 1.18
• Both teams to score: yes · 60% · Fair odds 1.68 · MegaPari 1.57

Who will win Racing de Santander vs Valencia?

There is little to separate the sides: Racing de Santander 43%, the draw 25%, Valencia 32%. MegaPari pays 2.42 on Racing de Santander, more than our fair price of 2.34.

Two markets clear our thresholds for this match: over 1.5 goals (82%) and both teams to score: yes (60%).

Odds: MegaPari, as of 7 October 2026, 05:05 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Racing de Santander vs Valencia

Goals are expected: 1.9 for Racing de Santander and 1.6 for Valencia, 3.4 in all, which puts over 2.5 goals at 59%. Both teams score in this match with a probability of 60%.

Racing de Santander vs Valencia correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 10%, ahead of 2-1 (9%) and 1-2 (7%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 10 matches like this one.

Form: Racing de Santander and Valencia in their last five

Racing de Santander have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -9. Valencia have won 1 and lost 4 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -8. The results cover every competition in our data.

Racing de Santander: last five matches

Valencia: last five matches

Racing de Santander vs Valencia head to head

Racing de Santander and Valencia have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.

How the odds have moved

MegaPari's price on Racing de Santander has drifted from 2.30 to 2.42 since the line opened: the market rates them lower than it did at the open. Over 2.5 goals has moved from 1.72 to 1.74, so the market now expects fewer goals than at the open.

Prices from MegaPari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.

The rest of LaLiga is on our La Liga page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with MegaPari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.