Bundesliga
RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt prediction: Bundesliga, Saturday 10 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
RB Leipzig host Eintracht Frankfurt in the Bundesliga on Saturday 10 October, kick-off 19:30 EAT. The match is played at Red Bull Arena (Leipzig). RB Leipzig are 9th in the table with 6 points from 4 games; Eintracht Frankfurt are 10th with 5.
Our tips for this match
- RB Leipzig to win · 59% · Fair odds 1.69 · MegaPari 1.58
- Over 1.5 goals · 84% · Fair odds 1.18 · MegaPari 1.03
- Over 2.5 goals · 69% · Fair odds 1.44 · MegaPari 1.26
- Both teams to score: yes · 65% · Fair odds 1.54 · MegaPari 1.36
Who will win RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
RB Leipzig are favourites, though not by much: 59% to win, 20% for the draw and 21% for Eintracht Frankfurt. MegaPari's 1.58 on RB Leipzig is shorter than our fair price of 1.69: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.
Four markets clear our thresholds for this match: RB Leipzig to win (59%), over 1.5 goals (84%), over 2.5 goals (69%) and both teams to score: yes (65%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | MegaPari |
|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig to win Tip | 59% | 1.69 | 1.58 |
| Draw | 20% | 5.07 | 5.13 |
| Eintracht Frankfurt to win | 21% | 4.76 | 5.29 |
| RB Leipzig or draw | 79% | 1.27 | 1.20 |
| Draw or Eintracht Frankfurt | 41% | 2.45 | 2.54 |
| RB Leipzig or Eintracht Frankfurt | 80% | 1.25 | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 goals Tip | 84% | 1.18 | 1.03 |
| Over 2.5 goals Tip | 69% | 1.44 | 1.26 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 31% | 3.25 | 3.40 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 56% | 1.79 | 2.15 |
| Both teams to score: yes Tip | 65% | 1.54 | 1.36 |
| Both teams to score: no | 35% | 2.85 | 2.94 |
Odds: MegaPari, as of 7 October 2026, 05:05 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt
Goals are expected: 2.3 for RB Leipzig and 1.5 for Eintracht Frankfurt, 3.8 in all, which puts over 2.5 goals at 69%. Both teams score in this match with a probability of 65%.
RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 2-1 at 9%, ahead of 1-1 (8%) and 3-1 (7%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 11 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 2-1 | 9.0% | 11.16 |
| 1-1 | 8.1% | 12.42 |
| 3-1 | 6.9% | 14.47 |
| 2-2 | 6.6% | 15.24 |
| 2-0 | 6.1% | 16.37 |
Form: RB Leipzig and Eintracht Frankfurt in their last five
RB Leipzig have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +1. Eintracht Frankfurt have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -1. The results cover every competition in our data.
RB Leipzig: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2026 | Leverkusen (away)Bundesliga | 0-2 | L |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Hamburger SV (home)Bundesliga | 5-0 | W |
| 10 Sep 2026 | Como (away)UEFA Champions League | 1-4 | L |
| 5 Sep 2026 | SV Werder Bremen (away)Bundesliga | 1-3 | L |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Gladbach (home)Bundesliga | 3-0 | W |
Eintracht Frankfurt: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | Freiburg (home)Bundesliga | 2-2 | D |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Mainz (away)Bundesliga | 3-1 | W |
| 6 Sep 2026 | Augsburg (home)Bundesliga | 1-4 | L |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Union Berlin (away)Bundesliga | 3-3 | D |
| 16 May 2026 | VfB Stuttgart (home)Bundesliga | 2-2 | D |
RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt head to head
In their last six meetings in our data, RB Leipzig won 3, Eintracht Frankfurt won 2 and 1 was drawn. The most recent, on 18 April 2026, finished Eintracht Frankfurt 1–3 RB Leipzig.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt – RB LeipzigBundesliga | 1-3 |
| 6 Dec 2025 | RB Leipzig – Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga | 6-0 |
| 26 Apr 2025 | Eintracht Frankfurt – RB LeipzigBundesliga | 4-0 |
| 15 Dec 2024 | RB Leipzig – Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga | 2-1 |
| 18 May 2024 | Eintracht Frankfurt – RB LeipzigBundesliga | 2-2 |
| 13 Jan 2024 | RB Leipzig – Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga | 0-1 |
The rest of the Bundesliga is on our Bundesliga page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with MegaPari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is MegaPari.
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