LaLiga
Real Betis vs CA Osasuna prediction: LaLiga, Sunday 11 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Real Betis host CA Osasuna in LaLiga on Sunday 11 October, kick-off 19:30 EAT. The match is played at La Cartuja (Sevilla). Real Betis are 3rd in the table with 16 points from 7 games; CA Osasuna are 13th with 8.
Our tips for this match
- Real Betis to win · 61% · Fair odds 1.64 · MegaPari 1.64
- Real Betis or draw · 83% · Fair odds 1.20 · MegaPari 1.18
Who will win Real Betis vs CA Osasuna?
The model makes Real Betis clear favourites at 61%, with the draw at 23% and CA Osasuna at 17%. MegaPari's 1.64 on Real Betis sits right on our fair price of 1.64.
Two markets clear our thresholds for this match: Real Betis to win (61%) and Real Betis or draw (83%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | MegaPari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Betis to win Tip | 61% | 1.64 | 1.64 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.43 | 4.32 |
| CA Osasuna to win | 17% | 6.03 | 5.70 |
| Real Betis or draw Tip | 83% | 1.20 | 1.18 |
| Draw or CA Osasuna | 39% | 2.55 | 2.40 |
| Real Betis or CA Osasuna | 77% | 1.29 | 1.26 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 | 1.21 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.87 | 1.84 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.14 | 2.12 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 69% | 1.44 | 1.36 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | 1.92 | 1.78 |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | 2.09 | 1.95 |
Odds: MegaPari, as of 7 October 2026, 05:05 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Real Betis vs CA Osasuna
Expected goals are 1.9 for Real Betis and 0.9 for CA Osasuna, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 53%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 52%.
Real Betis vs CA Osasuna correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-0 at 11%, ahead of 2-0 (11%) and 1-1 (11%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 9 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | 11.4% | 8.79 |
| 2-0 | 11.3% | 8.81 |
| 1-1 | 10.6% | 9.40 |
| 2-1 | 9.8% | 10.15 |
| 3-0 | 7.3% | 13.74 |
Form: Real Betis and CA Osasuna in their last five
Real Betis are unbeaten in 5 (4 wins, 1 draw), with 8 goals scored and 4 conceded. CA Osasuna have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -8. The results cover every competition in our data.
Real Betis: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2026 | Deportivo de A Coruna (away)LaLiga | 1-1 | D |
| 17 Sep 2026 | Getafe (home)LaLiga | 1-0 | W |
| 14 Sep 2026 | Villarreal (away)LaLiga | 2-1 | W |
| 8 Sep 2026 | Lille (away)UEFA Champions League | 3-2 | W |
| 4 Sep 2026 | Real Madrid (home)LaLiga | 1-0 | W |
CA Osasuna: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | Rayo Vallecano (home)LaLiga | 1-1 | D |
| 16 Sep 2026 | Atlético Madrid (away)LaLiga | 0-4 | L |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Espanyol (home)LaLiga | 0-2 | L |
| 6 Sep 2026 | Deportivo Alavés (away)LaLiga | 2-5 | L |
| 31 Aug 2026 | Getafe (home)LaLiga | 1-0 | W |
Real Betis vs CA Osasuna head to head
In their last six meetings in our data, Real Betis won 4, CA Osasuna won none and 2 were drawn. The most recent, on 12 April 2026, finished CA Osasuna 1–1 Real Betis.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr 2026 | CA Osasuna – Real BetisLaLiga | 1-1 |
| 28 Sep 2025 | Real Betis – CA OsasunaLaLiga | 2-0 |
| 11 May 2025 | Real Betis – CA OsasunaLaLiga | 1-1 |
| 19 Oct 2024 | CA Osasuna – Real BetisLaLiga | 1-2 |
| 5 May 2024 | CA Osasuna – Real BetisLaLiga | 0-2 |
| 29 Oct 2023 | Real Betis – CA OsasunaLaLiga | 2-1 |
The rest of LaLiga is on our La Liga page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with MegaPari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is MegaPari.
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