LaLiga
Real Sociedad vs Deportivo de A Coruna prediction: LaLiga, Sunday 11 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Real Sociedad host Deportivo de A Coruna in LaLiga on Sunday 11 October, kick-off 17:15 EAT. The match is played at Anoeta (San Sebastián). Real Sociedad are 8th in the table with 10 points from 7 games; Deportivo de A Coruna are 7th with 10.
Our tips for this match
- Real Sociedad to win · 55% · Fair odds 1.80 · MegaPari 1.75
Who will win Real Sociedad vs Deportivo de A Coruna?
Real Sociedad are favourites, though not by much: 55% to win, 24% for the draw and 20% for Deportivo de A Coruna. MegaPari's 1.75 on Real Sociedad is shorter than our fair price of 1.80: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.
One market clears our thresholds for this match: Real Sociedad to win (55%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | MegaPari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad to win Tip | 55% | 1.80 | 1.75 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.12 | 3.98 |
| Deportivo de A Coruna to win | 20% | 4.93 | 5.23 |
| Real Sociedad or draw | 80% | 1.25 | 1.20 |
| Draw or Deportivo de A Coruna | 45% | 2.25 | 2.21 |
| Real Sociedad or Deportivo de A Coruna | 76% | 1.32 | 1.29 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | 1.30 | 1.22 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.86 | 1.86 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.16 | 2.10 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 68% | 1.47 | 1.36 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | 1.86 | 1.75 |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | 2.17 | 1.98 |
Odds: MegaPari, as of 7 October 2026, 05:05 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Real Sociedad vs Deportivo de A Coruna
Expected goals are 1.8 for Real Sociedad and 1.1 for Deportivo de A Coruna, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 54%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 54%.
Real Sociedad vs Deportivo de A Coruna correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 11%, ahead of 2-1 (10%) and 1-0 (10%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 9 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 11.2% | 8.90 |
| 2-1 | 9.8% | 10.15 |
| 1-0 | 9.6% | 10.38 |
| 2-0 | 9.2% | 10.89 |
| 3-1 | 6.0% | 16.69 |
Form: Real Sociedad and Deportivo de A Coruna in their last five
Real Sociedad have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -2. Deportivo de A Coruna have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +2. The results cover every competition in our data.
Real Sociedad: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2026 | Valencia (away)LaLiga | 3-2 | W |
| 17 Sep 2026 | Bournemouth (home)UEFA Europa League | 1-2 | L |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Atlético Madrid (home)LaLiga | 0-3 | L |
| 7 Sep 2026 | Elche (away)LaLiga | 3-2 | W |
| 3 Sep 2026 | Celta Vigo (home)LaLiga | 0-0 | D |
Deportivo de A Coruna: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2026 | Real Betis (home)LaLiga | 1-1 | D |
| 16 Sep 2026 | Sevilla (home)LaLiga | 0-1 | L |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Getafe (away)LaLiga | 1-1 | D |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Villarreal (away)LaLiga | 3-2 | W |
| 30 Aug 2026 | Valencia (home)LaLiga | 3-1 | W |
Real Sociedad vs Deportivo de A Coruna head to head
Real Sociedad and Deportivo de A Coruna have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.
The rest of LaLiga is on our La Liga page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with MegaPari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is MegaPari.
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