Torino vs Udinese prediction: Serie A, Monday 12 October

Torino host Udinese in Serie A on Monday 12 October, kick-off 21:45 EAT. The match is played at Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino (Torino). Torino are 14th in the table with 4 points from 5 games; Udinese are 13th with 4.

Our tips for this match

No tip: no market clears our thresholds for this match.

Who will win Torino vs Udinese?

There is little to separate the sides: Torino 38%, the draw 28%, Udinese 34%. MegaPari's 2.39 on Torino is shorter than our fair price of 2.62: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.

No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.

Odds: MegaPari, as of 7 October 2026, 05:05 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Torino vs Udinese

Expected goals are 1.3 for Torino and 1.3 for Udinese, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 48%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 52%.

Torino vs Udinese correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 13%, ahead of 0-1 (9%) and 1-0 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.

Form: Torino and Udinese in their last five

Torino have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -3. Udinese have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -3. The results cover every competition in our data.

Torino: last five matches

Udinese: last five matches

Torino vs Udinese head to head

In their last six meetings in our data, Torino won 2, Udinese won 2 and 2 were drawn. The most recent, on 2 May 2026, finished Udinese 2–0 Torino.

How the odds have moved

MegaPari's price on Torino has shortened from 2.42 to 2.39 since the line opened: the market has moved towards them. Over 2.5 goals has moved from 2.12 to 2.21, so the market now expects fewer goals than at the open.

Prices from MegaPari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.

The rest of Serie A is on our Serie A page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with MegaPari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.