Union Berlin vs SV 07 Elversberg prediction: Bundesliga, Saturday 10 October

Union Berlin host SV 07 Elversberg in the Bundesliga on Saturday 10 October, kick-off 16:30 EAT. The match is played at An der Alten Forsterei (Berlin). Union Berlin are 17th in the table with 1 points from 4 games; SV 07 Elversberg are 7th with 7.

Our tips for this match

• Both teams to score: yes · 59% · Fair odds 1.69 · MegaPari 1.48

Who will win Union Berlin vs SV 07 Elversberg?

There is little to separate the sides: Union Berlin 38%, the draw 26%, SV 07 Elversberg 36%. MegaPari's 2.29 on Union Berlin is shorter than our fair price of 2.63: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.

One market clears our thresholds for this match: both teams to score: yes (59%).

Odds: MegaPari, as of 7 October 2026, 05:05 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Union Berlin vs SV 07 Elversberg

Expected goals are 1.3 for Union Berlin and 1.5 for SV 07 Elversberg, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 57%. Both teams score in this match with a probability of 59%.

Union Berlin vs SV 07 Elversberg correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 12%, ahead of 1-2 (9%) and 0-1 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.

Form: Union Berlin and SV 07 Elversberg in their last five

Union Berlin have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -9. SV 07 Elversberg have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +4. The results cover every competition in our data.

Union Berlin: last five matches

SV 07 Elversberg: last five matches

Union Berlin vs SV 07 Elversberg head to head

Union Berlin and SV 07 Elversberg have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.

The rest of the Bundesliga is on our Bundesliga page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with MegaPari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.