UEFA Champions League
Viking vs Bayern Munich prediction: UEFA Champions League, Tuesday 13 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Viking host Bayern Munich in the UEFA Champions League on Tuesday 13 October, kick-off 22:00 EAT. The match is played at Lyse Arena (Stavanger). Viking are 29th in the table with 0 points from 1 games; Bayern Munich are 2nd with 3.
Our tips for this match
- Bayern Munich to win · 71% · Fair odds 1.40 · MegaPari 1.11
- Draw or Bayern Munich · 85% · Fair odds 1.18 · MegaPari 1.02
- Over 1.5 goals · 85% · Fair odds 1.18 · MegaPari 1.04
- Over 2.5 goals · 74% · Fair odds 1.36 · MegaPari 1.11
- Both teams to score: yes · 59% · Fair odds 1.70 · MegaPari 1.68
Who will win Viking vs Bayern Munich?
The model makes Bayern Munich clear favourites at 71%, with the draw at 14% and Viking at 15%. MegaPari's 1.11 on Bayern Munich is shorter than our fair price of 1.40: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.
Five markets clear our thresholds for this match: Bayern Munich to win (71%), draw or Bayern Munich (85%), over 1.5 goals (85%), over 2.5 goals (74%) and both teams to score: yes (59%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | MegaPari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Viking to win | 15% | 6.71 | 21.00 |
| Draw | 14% | 7.27 | 14.00 |
| Bayern Munich to win Tip | 71% | 1.40 | 1.11 |
| Viking or draw | 29% | 3.49 | 7.80 |
| Draw or Bayern Munich Tip | 85% | 1.18 | 1.02 |
| Viking or Bayern Munich | 86% | 1.16 | 1.05 |
| Over 1.5 goals Tip | 85% | 1.18 | 1.04 |
| Over 2.5 goals Tip | 74% | 1.36 | 1.11 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 26% | 3.80 | 4.85 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 55% | 1.80 | 2.61 |
| Both teams to score: yes Tip | 59% | 1.70 | 1.68 |
| Both teams to score: no | 41% | 2.42 | 2.08 |
Odds: MegaPari, as of 7 October 2026, 05:05 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Viking vs Bayern Munich
Goals are expected: 1.5 for Viking and 2.3 for Bayern Munich, 3.8 in all, which puts over 2.5 goals at 74%. Both teams score in this match with a probability of 59%.
Viking vs Bayern Munich correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-2 at 9%, ahead of 1-1 (8%) and 2-2 (7%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 11 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-2 | 8.8% | 11.39 |
| 1-1 | 8.0% | 12.56 |
| 2-2 | 6.7% | 14.84 |
| 1-3 | 6.7% | 14.90 |
| 2-1 | 5.9% | 17.01 |
Form: Viking and Bayern Munich in their last five
Viking have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +9. Bayern Munich are unbeaten in 5 (4 wins, 1 draw), with 19 goals scored and 2 conceded. The results cover every competition in our data.
Viking: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2026 | Lillestrom (home)Eliteserien | 3-0 | W |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Kristiansund BK (home)Eliteserien | 8-1 | W |
| 9 Sep 2026 | VfB Stuttgart (away)UEFA Champions League | 1-3 | L |
| 4 Sep 2026 | Sandefjord (away)Eliteserien | 1-1 | D |
| 30 Aug 2026 | Aalesunds (home)Eliteserien | 2-1 | W |
Bayern Munich: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep 2026 | Union Berlin (home)Bundesliga | 7-0 | W |
| 13 Sep 2026 | SV 07 Elversberg (away)Bundesliga | 2-1 | W |
| 10 Sep 2026 | Bodø/Glimt (home)UEFA Champions League | 5-0 | W |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Schalke 04 (away)Bundesliga | 0-0 | D |
| 28 Aug 2026 | VfB Stuttgart (home)Bundesliga | 5-1 | W |
Viking vs Bayern Munich head to head
Viking and Bayern Munich have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.
The rest of the UEFA Champions League is on our Champions League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with MegaPari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is MegaPari.
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