Primeira Liga
Academico de Viseu vs GD Estoril Praia prediction: Primeira Liga, Saturday 10 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Academico de Viseu
GD Estoril Praia
- Academico de Viseu
- 49%MegaPari 2.27
- Draw
- 25%MegaPari 3.46
- GD Estoril Praia
- 26%MegaPari 3.08
- Over 1.5 goals78% · fair 1.281.25Bet
xG 1.9–1.1 · likeliest 1-1 (11%)
Academico de Viseu host GD Estoril Praia in Primeira Liga on Saturday 10 October, kick-off 22:30 EAT. The match is played at Estadio Municipal do Fontelo (Viseu). Academico de Viseu are 7th in the table with 11 points from 7 games; GD Estoril Praia are 18th with 2.
Who will win Academico de Viseu vs GD Estoril Praia?
Academico de Viseu are favourites, though not by much: 49% to win, 25% for the draw and 26% for GD Estoril Praia. MegaPari pays 2.27 on Academico de Viseu, more than our fair price of 2.05.
One market clears our thresholds for this match: over 1.5 goals (78%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | MegaPari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Academico de Viseu to win | 49% | 2.05 | 2.27 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.96 | 3.46 |
| GD Estoril Praia to win | 26% | 3.84 | 3.08 |
| Academico de Viseu or draw | 74% | 1.35 | 1.39 |
| Draw or GD Estoril Praia | 51% | 1.95 | 1.65 |
| Academico de Viseu or GD Estoril Praia | 75% | 1.34 | 1.32 |
| Over 1.5 goals Tip | 78% | 1.28 | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.88 | 1.90 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.13 | 1.90 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 66% | 1.51 | 1.29 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | 1.81 | 1.69 |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | 2.23 | 2.05 |
Odds: MegaPari, as of 7 October 2026, 22:36 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Academico de Viseu vs GD Estoril Praia
Expected goals are 1.9 for Academico de Viseu and 1.1 for GD Estoril Praia, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 53%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 55%.
Academico de Viseu vs GD Estoril Praia correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 11%, ahead of 2-1 (10%) and 1-0 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 9 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 10.8% | 9.29 |
| 2-1 | 9.9% | 10.12 |
| 1-0 | 8.9% | 11.20 |
| 2-0 | 8.9% | 11.21 |
| 3-1 | 6.3% | 15.92 |
Form: Academico de Viseu and GD Estoril Praia in their last five
Academico de Viseu have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +1. GD Estoril Praia have not won in 5 (1 draw, 4 defeats) and scored 2 in that run. The results cover every competition in our data.
Academico de Viseu: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2026 | Estrela da Amadora (away)Primeira Liga | 2-0 | W |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Vitória de Guimarães (home)Primeira Liga | 2-1 | W |
| 6 Sep 2026 | Gil Vicente (away)Primeira Liga | 1-0 | W |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Porto (home)Primeira Liga | 0-3 | L |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Marítimo (away)Primeira Liga | 2-2 | D |
GD Estoril Praia: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2026 | Casa Pia (home)Primeira Liga | 1-2 | L |
| 14 Sep 2026 | Braga (away)Primeira Liga | 0-1 | L |
| 7 Sep 2026 | Arouca (home)Primeira Liga | 0-0 | D |
| 31 Aug 2026 | Benfica (away)Primeira Liga | 1-2 | L |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Rio Ave (home)Primeira Liga | 0-2 | L |
Academico de Viseu vs GD Estoril Praia head to head
Academico de Viseu and GD Estoril Praia have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.
All the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with MegaPari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is MegaPari.
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