Basketball predictions: every game's win chances, the handicap and the points total
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Basketball runs on its own model at TipsQuant, separate from the football one. This page lists every game we follow, from the NBA, the EuroLeague and the Basketball Africa League to ten domestic and regional leagues, with both teams' chances to win, a projected score, and our chance on the bookmaker's main handicap and points total. Tips appear where one of those numbers leans clearly to one side. Tables refresh four times a day.
Basketball games today: win chances, handicap and total
| Tip-off | Game | 1 | 2 | Projected score | Handicap | Total points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adelaide 36ers – Melbourne UnitedNBL (Australia)91-96 | 49% | 51% | 90 – 90 | – | – | |
| Kolossos Rodou – SCM CSU CraiovaFIBA Europe Cupfrom the odds | 75% | 25% | 89 – 80 | −9 · 50% | 169 · over 50% | |
| Landau Lions – Les Lions de GeneveFIBA Europe Cupfrom the odds | 55% | 45% | 82 – 81 | −1.5 · 50% | 163 · over 50% | |
| AEK Athens – Salon Vilpas VikingsBasketball Champions Leaguefrom the odds | 92% | 8% | 93 – 76 | −17 · 50% | 168.5 · over 50% | |
| Trabzonspor – JSF NanterreBasketball Champions League | 68% | 32% | 85 – 79 | −7.5 · 44% | 164.5 · over 48% | |
| Slavia Prague ERA NBK – Alba BerlinBasketball Champions Leaguefrom the odds | 37% | 63% | 84 – 88 | +4 · 50% | 173 · over 50% | |
| Balkan Botevgrad – Bahcesehir KolejiEuroCupfrom the odds | 10% | 90% | 75 – 93 | +17.5 · 49% | 168 · over 50% | |
| U-BT Cluj-Napoca – Reyer Venezia MestreEuroCup | 45% | 55% | 87 – 89 | +2 · 50% | 175 · over 52% | |
| AEK Larnaca – WurzburgFIBA Europe Cupfrom the odds | 25% | 75% | 75 – 84 | +9 · 50% | 158 · over 50% | |
| Opava – KK SplitFIBA Europe Cupfrom the odds | 33% | 67% | 79 – 85 | +5.5 · 49% | 163.5 · over 50% | |
| CSM Oradea – Fribourg OlympicFIBA Europe Cupfrom the odds | 84% | 16% | 89 – 76 | −13 · 51% | 165.5 · over 50% | |
| Esenler Erokspor – GenceFIBA Europe Cupfrom the odds | 93% | 7% | 94 – 74 | −19 · 51% | 168 · over 50% | |
| Keravnos – KK ParnuFIBA Europe Cupfrom the odds | 71% | 29% | 81 – 74 | −7 · 51% | 154.5 · over 50% | |
| VEF Riga – Lokomotiv PlovdivFIBA Europe Cupfrom the odds | 88% | 12% | 90 – 75 | −15.5 · 50% | 165.5 · over 50% | |
| Bakken Bears – S.L. BenficaFIBA Europe Cup | 62% | 38% | 86 – 82 | −1 · 59% | 171.5 · over 43% | |
| KB Trepca Mitrovice – Promitheas PatrasFIBA Europe Cupfrom the odds | 21% | 79% | 80 – 91 | +10.5 · 50% | 171 · over 50% | |
| Kalev – KerfezFIBA Europe Cupfrom the odds | 13% | 87% | 76 – 91 | +15 · 51% | 167 · over 50% | |
| Juventus Utena – Unicaja MalagaBasketball Champions League | 25% | 75% | 81 – 89 | +9 · 53% | 169.5 · over 51% | |
| Aris Thessaloniki – BurgosEuroCup | 66% | 34% | 88 – 83 | −9 · 40% | 170 · over 51% | |
| Niners Chemnitz – NeptunasEuroCup | 54% | 46% | 86 – 85 | −4 · 43% | 171.5 · over 50% | |
| Bashkimi Prizren – Valmiera Glass ViAFIBA Europe Cupfrom the odds | 65% | 35% | 86 – 81 | −5 · 50% | 167.5 · over 50% | |
| King Wilki Morskie Szczecin – Nitra Blue WingsFIBA Europe Cupfrom the odds | 90% | 10% | 94 – 77 | −17.5 · 50% | 171.5 · over 50% | |
| Derthona – Le Mans SartheEuroCup | 59% | 41% | 87 – 84 | −5 · 44% | 171.5 · over 50% | |
| Antwerp Giants – Falco KC SzombathelyBasketball Champions Leaguefrom the odds | 61% | 39% | 86 – 82 | −3.5 · 50% | 168 · over 50% | |
| Spartak Subotica – SC Rasta VechtaBasketball Champions League | 64% | 36% | 87 – 83 | −6.5 · 43% | 169 · over 51% | |
| Telekom Bonn – PortoBasketball Champions Leaguefrom the odds | 79% | 21% | 87 – 77 | −9.5 · 51% | 164.5 · over 50% | |
| Roma SPQR – Panevezys LietkabelisEuroCup | 72% | 28% | 88 – 80 | −12 · 39% | 170.5 · over 46% | |
| Elan Chalon – Manchester BasketballFIBA Europe Cupfrom the odds | 89% | 11% | 90 – 74 | −16 · 51% | 164 · over 50% | |
| Gladiators Trier – BatumiFIBA Europe Cupfrom the odds | 97% | 3% | 102 – 77 | −25 · 51% | 178.5 · over 50% | |
| Universidad Catolica de Murcia – OpenjobMetis VareseBasketball Champions League | 87% | 13% | 92 – 78 | −13.5 · 51% | 170.5 · over 50% | |
| La Bruixa Dor Manresa – Ratiopharm UlmEuroCup | 64% | 36% | 89 – 84 | −5 · 49% | 175 · over 47% | |
| Sporting Lisboa – Rilski SportistFIBA Europe Cupfrom the odds | 72% | 28% | 87 – 79 | −7.5 · 50% | 165.5 · over 50% | |
| Paris – ASVEL Lyon-VilleurbanneEuroLeague | 71% | 29% | 90 – 83 | −5 · 55% | 173 · over 49% |
1 and 2 are each team's chance to win the game, overtime included. Handicap: the bookmaker's main line for the home team and our chance that the home team covers it. Total: the bookmaker's main points line and our chance that the game goes over it. Rows marked “from the odds” involve a team with too few recent games for our ratings: their numbers are the bookmaker's prices with the margin removed.
How to read the game table
There is no draw in basketball. A level score after regulation goes to overtime, and overtime counts, so the 1 and 2 columns add up to 100%. The projected score is the expected total split by the expected margin: the centre of a wide range, not a guess at the exact result.
The handicap column shows the bookmaker's main line for the home team and our chance that the home team covers it. A line of −6.5 asks the home side to win by seven or more; +4.5 lets it lose by up to four. The total column gives our chance of the game going over the bookmaker's main points line.
Times are in East Africa Time, converted in your browser to your own clock; Nigeria is two hours behind EAT and Ghana three. Most NBA games tip off after midnight here, so they often sit under the next day's date.
Basketball games tomorrow
| Tip-off | Game | 1 | 2 | Projected score | Handicap | Total points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cairns Taipans – Brisbane BulletsNBL (Australia) | 56% | 44% | 93 – 91 | −2 · 51% | 185.5 · over 46% | |
| Dubai – Crvena ZvezdaEuroLeague | 72% | 28% | 88 – 81 | −7 · 49% | 167.5 · over 53% | |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv – Olimpia MilanoEuroLeague | 62% | 38% | 89 – 85 | −2 · 55% | 172.5 · over 53% | |
| Bayern Munich – Virtus Granarolo BolognaEuroLeague | 71% | 29% | 88 – 82 | −5.5 · 53% | 171 · over 47% | |
| Panathinaikos – FenerbahceEuroLeague | 67% | 33% | 84 – 79 | −4 · 54% | 162.5 · over 52% | |
| Valencia – Hapoel Tel AvivEuroLeague | 66% | 34% | 92 – 87 | −2 · 60% | 180 · over 48% | |
| Real Madrid Baloncesto – KK PartizanEuroLeague | 76% | 24% | 90 – 82 | −9.5 · 45% | 174 · over 47% |
1 and 2 are each team's chance to win the game, overtime included. Handicap: the bookmaker's main line for the home team and our chance that the home team covers it. Total: the bookmaker's main points line and our chance that the game goes over it. Rows marked “from the odds” involve a team with too few recent games for our ratings: their numbers are the bookmaker's prices with the margin removed.
When a tip appears
A winner tip needs 70%. Favourites win more often in basketball than in football, so a 60% side is nothing special. Every tip shows its probability and its fair odds, which are 1 divided by the probability.
Handicap and total tips need 56%. The bookmaker sets those lines to split the money about evenly, so a number clearly above half already disagrees with the price. Any edge over the bookmaker's line is small, and we promise none. Both wait until each team has played five games of the season, since early on the ratings still describe last season's squads.
Basketball winner tips for today
| Tip-off | Match | Tip | Probability | Fair odds | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus Utena – Unicaja MalagaBasketball Champions League | Unicaja Malaga to win | 75% | 1.34 | 1.25 | Pending | |
| Roma SPQR – Panevezys LietkabelisEuroCup | Roma SPQR to win | 72% | 1.38 | 1.12 | Pending | |
| Universidad Catolica de Murcia – OpenjobMetis VareseBasketball Champions League | Universidad Catolica de Murcia to win | 87% | 1.14 | 1.10 | Pending | |
| Paris – ASVEL Lyon-VilleurbanneEuroLeague | Paris to win | 71% | 1.41 | 1.47 | Pending |
Odds: MegaPari, as of 7 October 2026, 17:17 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Basketball handicap tips for today
| Tip-off | Match | Tip | Probability | Fair odds | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niners Chemnitz – NeptunasEuroCup | Neptunas +4 | 57% | 1.76 | 1.80 | Pending |
Odds: MegaPari, as of 7 October 2026, 17:17 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Basketball over/under points tips for today
No basketball tip for this day yet: a tip appears only when the numbers lean clearly to one side.
Over/under points: why the line moves so much
An NBA game lasts 48 minutes and is played fast, so its main total usually sits well above 200 points. European and African club games last 40 minutes and tend to be slower, which pulls the line far lower; an over 150 prediction almost always means one of those games.
What the model knows, and what it does not
Every team has an attack and a defence rating in points, and every competition its own scoring level and home advantage. Ratings come from the last 540 days of finished games, recent ones counting more: an NBA game loses half its weight every 45 days, a game elsewhere every 150. A club playing a European cup keeps one rating across cup and league, which puts Europe's leagues on one scale.
The published margin is 40% model and 60% the bookmaker's main handicap; the total is 30% model and 70% the main total. Real results scatter around those values, by roughly 11 to 15 points for the margin and 16 to 19 for the total, and that scatter turns them into chances. Tested alone on 4,390 games of the 2025-26 season, each predicted only from earlier games, the model put one side at 70% or more in 1,686 games; that side won 82% of the time against 80% predicted.
Scores are the only input: no injuries, rested stars or back-to-back nights, so check team news before tip-off.
How we pick, and where to read more
The methodology page explains the football model and the logging rules both sports share. Basketball tips are logged before tip-off and settled automatically; their record, below, is kept apart from the football track record. The NBA alone, with the American names for these markets, is on NBA predictions.
Before you bet
Any bet can lose, and a handicap can be decided by a free throw in the final seconds. Betting is for adults aged 18+. Fix your stake before you open the tables; our responsible gambling page lists the limits you can set. If you combine games, the accumulator calculator shows how quickly the chance of the whole slip falls.
Basketball tips settled over the last 30 days
No basketball tip has been settled in this period yet.
Basketball tips are logged before tip-off and settled automatically from the final score, overtime included. A handicap or total that lands exactly on the line is void. They are counted on their own, apart from the football record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is MegaPari.
Promo code: TIPSQUANT
Frequently asked questions
Where is today's basketball prediction?
In the first table on this page. It lists every game of our competitions that tips off today in East Africa Time, with both teams' chances to win, the projected score and our read of the main handicap and total. The tips for today follow further down, one table per market.
How do your basketball under/over predictions work?
We take the bookmaker's main points line for each game and give our chance that the two teams together score more than it. When that chance reaches 56%, the game gets an over tip; when our chance of the under reaches 56%, it gets an under tip instead. Overtime points count.
Do you give an over 150 prediction?
Only when 150 or so is the bookmaker's main line for that game, which happens in the 40-minute European and African game, never in the NBA. We do not price alternative lines. If our chance of the over on the main line is high and you want a lower line, the lower one is more likely still, but we print no number for it.
What should a good basketball prediction site show you?
A probability for every pick rather than a confident adjective, the fair odds that follow from it, and a record that settles every tip, the losers included, without anyone editing it later. We do not rank other sites; judge ours by the record on this page.
Which basketball competitions do you cover?
The NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Basketball Champions League, FIBA Europe Cup, Basketball Africa League, Betclic Élite, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Basketbol Süper Ligi, Greek Basket League, LKL, Israeli Basketball Premier League, ABA League and NBL in Australia. A competition between seasons simply has no rows.
Why do some rows say "from the odds"?
One of the teams has played fewer than eight games in the last year in our data, so it has no rating yet. The row shows the bookmaker's prices with the margin removed, and that game gets no tip.