Süper Lig
Alanyaspor vs BB Erzurumspor prediction: Süper Lig, Saturday 10 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Alanyaspor
BB Erzurumspor
- Alanyaspor
- 41%MegaPari 2.05
- Draw
- 29%MegaPari 3.44
- BB Erzurumspor
- 30%MegaPari 3.94
- Under 3.5 goals77% · fair 1.291.16Bet
xG 1.1–1.1 · likeliest 1-1 (14%)
Alanyaspor host BB Erzurumspor in the Süper Lig on Saturday 10 October, kick-off 16:00 EAT. The match is played at Alanya Oba (Alanya). Alanyaspor are 5th in the table with 11 points from 6 games; BB Erzurumspor are 14th with 7.
Who will win Alanyaspor vs BB Erzurumspor?
There is little to separate the sides: Alanyaspor 41%, the draw 29%, BB Erzurumspor 30%. At 29% the draw is a real option, more likely than in most matches. MegaPari's 2.05 on Alanyaspor is shorter than our fair price of 2.46: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.
One market clears our thresholds for this match: under 3.5 goals (77%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | MegaPari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor to win | 41% | 2.46 | 2.05 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.44 | 3.44 |
| BB Erzurumspor to win | 30% | 3.30 | 3.94 |
| Alanyaspor or draw | 70% | 1.43 | 1.28 |
| Draw or BB Erzurumspor | 59% | 1.68 | 1.82 |
| Alanyaspor or BB Erzurumspor | 71% | 1.41 | 1.34 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70% | 1.44 | 1.36 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 2.33 | 2.33 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 57% | 1.75 | 1.66 |
| Under 3.5 goals Tip | 77% | 1.29 | 1.16 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 49% | 2.06 | 1.97 |
| Both teams to score: no | 51% | 1.94 | 1.75 |
Odds: MegaPari, as of 7 October 2026, 22:36 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Alanyaspor vs BB Erzurumspor
Expected goals are 1.1 for Alanyaspor and 1.1 for BB Erzurumspor, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 43%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 49%.
Alanyaspor vs BB Erzurumspor correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 14%, ahead of 0-1 (12%) and 0-0 (11%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 7 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 13.9% | 7.20 |
| 0-1 | 11.6% | 8.61 |
| 0-0 | 11.2% | 8.91 |
| 1-0 | 11.2% | 8.93 |
| 1-2 | 7.6% | 13.16 |
Form: Alanyaspor and BB Erzurumspor in their last five
Alanyaspor have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +2. BB Erzurumspor have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -5. The results cover every competition in our data.
Alanyaspor: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | Arca Corum (away)Süper Lig | 2-1 | W |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Goztepe (home)Süper Lig | 2-2 | D |
| 7 Sep 2026 | Caykur Rizespor (away)Süper Lig | 1-0 | W |
| 30 Aug 2026 | Eyupspor (away)Süper Lig | 1-2 | L |
| 23 Aug 2026 | Beşiktaş (home)Süper Lig | 1-0 | W |
BB Erzurumspor: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2026 | Samsunspor (home)Süper Lig | 1-0 | W |
| 11 Sep 2026 | Beşiktaş (away)Süper Lig | 0-3 | L |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Konyaspor (home)Süper Lig | 1-0 | W |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Genclerbirligi (away)Süper Lig | 1-1 | D |
| 21 Aug 2026 | Galatasaray (home)Süper Lig | 0-4 | L |
Alanyaspor vs BB Erzurumspor head to head
Alanyaspor and BB Erzurumspor have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.
All the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with MegaPari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is MegaPari.
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