EFL Championship
Birmingham City vs Preston North End prediction: EFL Championship, Tuesday 13 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Birmingham City
Preston North End
- Birmingham City
- 54%MegaPari 1.65
- Draw
- 25%MegaPari 3.85
- Preston North End
- 21%MegaPari 4.86
No tip: no market clears our thresholds for this match.
xG 1.6–1.0 · likeliest 1-1 (12%)
Birmingham City host Preston North End in the EFL Championship on Tuesday 13 October, kick-off 22:00 EAT.
Who will win Birmingham City vs Preston North End?
Birmingham City are favourites, though not by much: 54% to win, 25% for the draw and 21% for Preston North End. MegaPari's 1.65 on Birmingham City is shorter than our fair price of 1.84: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.
No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | MegaPari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Birmingham City to win | 54% | 1.84 | 1.65 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.99 | 3.85 |
| Preston North End to win | 21% | 4.83 | 4.86 |
| Birmingham City or draw | 79% | 1.26 | – |
| Draw or Preston North End | 46% | 2.18 | – |
| Birmingham City or Preston North End | 75% | 1.33 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 2.01 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50% | 1.99 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 73% | 1.38 | – |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | 1.92 | – |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | 2.08 | – |
Odds: MegaPari, as of 7 October 2026, 22:36 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Birmingham City vs Preston North End
Expected goals are 1.6 for Birmingham City and 1.0 for Preston North End, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 50%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 52%.
Birmingham City vs Preston North End correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 12%, ahead of 1-0 (12%) and 2-0 (10%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 12.3% | 8.12 |
| 1-0 | 11.8% | 8.48 |
| 2-0 | 9.9% | 10.14 |
| 2-1 | 9.5% | 10.50 |
| 0-0 | 8.1% | 12.35 |
Form: Birmingham City and Preston North End in their last five
Birmingham City have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +0. Preston North End have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -3. The results cover every competition in our data.
Birmingham City: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | Middlesbrough (home)EFL Championship | 2-2 | D |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Derby County (away)EFL Championship | 2-1 | W |
| 9 Sep 2026 | Norwich City (away)EFL Championship | 1-2 | L |
| 6 Sep 2026 | Wolves (home)EFL Championship | 2-2 | D |
| 1 Sep 2026 | Southampton (home)EFL Championship | 1-1 | D |
Preston North End: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | Queens Park Rangers (away)EFL Championship | 2-2 | D |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Lincoln City (home)EFL Championship | 0-1 | L |
| 8 Sep 2026 | Watford (away)EFL Championship | 1-2 | L |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Blackburn Rovers (home)EFL Championship | 2-1 | W |
| 1 Sep 2026 | Bristol City (home)EFL Championship | 1-3 | L |
Birmingham City vs Preston North End head to head
In their last three meetings in our data, Birmingham City won 3, Preston North End won none and none was drawn. The most recent, on 22 April 2026, finished Birmingham City 2–1 Preston North End.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr 2026 | Birmingham City – Preston North EndEFL Championship | 2-1 |
| 21 Oct 2025 | Preston North End – Birmingham CityEFL Championship | 0-1 |
| 1 Apr 2024 | Birmingham City – Preston North EndEFL Championship | 1-0 |
The rest of the EFL Championship is on our Championship page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with MegaPari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is MegaPari.
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