EFL Championship
Blackburn Rovers vs Cardiff City prediction: EFL Championship, Saturday 10 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Blackburn Rovers
Cardiff City
- Blackburn Rovers
- 38%MegaPari 2.62
- Draw
- 27%MegaPari 3.50
- Cardiff City
- 35%MegaPari 2.45
No tip: no market clears our thresholds for this match.
xG 1.3–1.2 · likeliest 1-1 (13%)
Blackburn Rovers host Cardiff City in the EFL Championship on Saturday 10 October, kick-off 17:00 EAT.
Who will win Blackburn Rovers vs Cardiff City?
There is little to separate the sides: Blackburn Rovers 38%, the draw 27%, Cardiff City 35%. MegaPari's 2.62 on Blackburn Rovers sits right on our fair price of 2.66.
No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | MegaPari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackburn Rovers to win | 38% | 2.66 | 2.62 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.66 | 3.50 |
| Cardiff City to win | 35% | 2.85 | 2.45 |
| Blackburn Rovers or draw | 65% | 1.54 | 1.51 |
| Draw or Cardiff City | 62% | 1.60 | 1.44 |
| Blackburn Rovers or Cardiff City | 73% | 1.38 | 1.27 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% | 1.38 | 1.15 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.88 | 1.61 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.14 | 2.23 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.35 | 1.46 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | 1.75 | 1.49 |
| Both teams to score: no | 43% | 2.34 | 2.44 |
Odds: MegaPari, as of 7 October 2026, 22:36 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Blackburn Rovers vs Cardiff City
Expected goals are 1.3 for Blackburn Rovers and 1.2 for Cardiff City, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 53%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 57%.
Blackburn Rovers vs Cardiff City correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 13%, ahead of 1-0 (11%) and 0-1 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 7 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 13.3% | 7.50 |
| 1-0 | 10.5% | 9.48 |
| 0-1 | 9.2% | 10.87 |
| 0-0 | 8.9% | 11.25 |
| 2-1 | 8.5% | 11.81 |
Form: Blackburn Rovers and Cardiff City in their last five
Blackburn Rovers have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +0. Cardiff City have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -2. The results cover every competition in our data.
Blackburn Rovers: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | Portsmouth (away)EFL Championship | 2-2 | D |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Millwall (home)EFL Championship | 3-1 | W |
| 8 Sep 2026 | Sheffield United (home)EFL Championship | 1-2 | L |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Preston North End (away)EFL Championship | 1-2 | L |
| 1 Sep 2026 | Lincoln City (away)EFL Championship | 0-0 | D |
Cardiff City: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | Charlton Athletic (home)EFL Championship | 3-1 | W |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Bolton Wanderers (away)EFL Championship | 0-1 | L |
| 8 Sep 2026 | Stoke City (home)EFL Championship | 1-1 | D |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Portsmouth (away)EFL Championship | 0-2 | L |
| 2 Sep 2026 | Queens Park Rangers (away)EFL Championship | 1-2 | L |
Blackburn Rovers vs Cardiff City head to head
In their last four meetings in our data, Blackburn Rovers won 2, Cardiff City won 1 and 1 was drawn. The most recent, on 15 March 2025, finished Blackburn Rovers 1–2 Cardiff City.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar 2025 | Blackburn Rovers – Cardiff CityEFL Championship | 1-2 |
| 9 Nov 2024 | Cardiff City – Blackburn RoversEFL Championship | 1-3 |
| 20 Feb 2024 | Cardiff City – Blackburn RoversEFL Championship | 0-0 |
| 21 Oct 2023 | Blackburn Rovers – Cardiff CityEFL Championship | 1-0 |
The rest of the EFL Championship is on our Championship page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with MegaPari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is MegaPari.
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