UEFA Champions League
Bodø/Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund prediction: UEFA Champions League, Wednesday 14 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Bodø/Glimt host Borussia Dortmund in the UEFA Champions League on Wednesday 14 October, kick-off 22:00 EAT. The match is played at Aspmyra (Bodo). Bodø/Glimt are 36th in the table with 0 points from 1 games; Borussia Dortmund are 12th with 3.
Who will win Bodø/Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund?
There is little to separate the sides: Bodø/Glimt 39%, the draw 24%, Borussia Dortmund 37%. MegaPari pays 3.29 on Bodø/Glimt, more than our fair price of 2.57.
Three markets clear our thresholds for this match: over 1.5 goals (81%), over 2.5 goals (63%) and both teams to score: yes (64%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | MegaPari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bodø/Glimt to win | 39% | 2.57 | 3.29 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.24 | 4.11 |
| Borussia Dortmund to win | 37% | 2.67 | 2.14 |
| Bodø/Glimt or draw | 63% | 1.60 | 1.79 |
| Draw or Borussia Dortmund | 61% | 1.64 | 1.39 |
| Bodø/Glimt or Borussia Dortmund | 76% | 1.31 | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 goals Tip | 81% | 1.24 | 1.08 |
| Over 2.5 goals Tip | 63% | 1.58 | 1.37 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 37% | 2.74 | 2.80 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 62% | 1.60 | 1.88 |
| Both teams to score: yes Tip | 64% | 1.57 | 1.36 |
| Both teams to score: no | 36% | 2.74 | 2.93 |
Odds: MegaPari, as of 8 October 2026, 00:41 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Bodø/Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund
Goals are expected: 1.9 for Bodø/Glimt and 1.4 for Borussia Dortmund, 3.3 in all, which puts over 2.5 goals at 63%. Both teams score in this match with a probability of 64%.
Bodø/Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 10%, ahead of 2-1 (9%) and 1-2 (7%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 10 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 10.3% | 9.75 |
| 2-1 | 9.2% | 10.81 |
| 1-2 | 7.0% | 14.27 |
| 2-2 | 6.6% | 15.22 |
| 1-0 | 6.6% | 15.27 |
Form: Bodø/Glimt and Borussia Dortmund in their last five
Bodø/Glimt have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -2. Borussia Dortmund have won all of their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 4. The results cover every competition in our data.
Bodø/Glimt: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2026 | Brann (away)Eliteserien | 1-2 | L |
| 14 Sep 2026 | Sandefjord (home)Eliteserien | 3-2 | W |
| 10 Sep 2026 | Bayern Munich (away)UEFA Champions League | 0-5 | L |
| 4 Sep 2026 | Fredrikstad (away)Eliteserien | 2-1 | W |
| 30 Aug 2026 | Rosenborg (home)Eliteserien | 4-2 | W |
Borussia Dortmund: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | VfB Stuttgart (away)Bundesliga | 1-0 | W |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Paderborn 07 (home)Bundesliga | 3-0 | W |
| 8 Sep 2026 | Villarreal (home)UEFA Champions League | 3-2 | W |
| 5 Sep 2026 | TSG Hoffenheim (away)Bundesliga | 3-2 | W |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Hamburger SV (home)Bundesliga | 2-0 | W |
Bodø/Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund head to head
The two have met once in our data: on 10 December 2025, Borussia Dortmund 2–2 Bodø/Glimt.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec 2025 | Borussia Dortmund – Bodø/GlimtUEFA Champions League | 2-2 |
The rest of the UEFA Champions League is on our Champions League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with MegaPari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is MegaPari.
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