EFL Championship
Bristol City vs Blackburn Rovers prediction: EFL Championship, Tuesday 13 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Bristol City
Blackburn Rovers
- Bristol City
- 46%MegaPari 1.95
- Draw
- 28%MegaPari 3.50
- Blackburn Rovers
- 27%MegaPari 3.61
- Under 3.5 goals76% · fair 1.31
xG 1.3–1.0 · likeliest 1-1 (14%)
Bristol City host Blackburn Rovers in the EFL Championship on Tuesday 13 October, kick-off 21:45 EAT.
Who will win Bristol City vs Blackburn Rovers?
Bristol City are favourites, though not by much: 46% to win, 28% for the draw and 27% for Blackburn Rovers. MegaPari's 1.95 on Bristol City is shorter than our fair price of 2.19: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.
One market clears our thresholds for this match: under 3.5 goals (76%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | MegaPari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol City to win | 46% | 2.19 | 1.95 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.61 | 3.50 |
| Blackburn Rovers to win | 27% | 3.76 | 3.61 |
| Bristol City or draw | 73% | 1.36 | – |
| Draw or Blackburn Rovers | 54% | 1.84 | – |
| Bristol City or Blackburn Rovers | 72% | 1.38 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70% | 1.42 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.20 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.84 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals Tip | 76% | 1.31 | – |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50% | 1.98 | – |
| Both teams to score: no | 50% | 2.02 | – |
Odds: MegaPari, as of 7 October 2026, 22:36 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Bristol City vs Blackburn Rovers
Expected goals are 1.3 for Bristol City and 1.0 for Blackburn Rovers, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 46%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 50%.
Bristol City vs Blackburn Rovers correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 14%, ahead of 1-0 (13%) and 0-0 (10%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 7 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 13.5% | 7.41 |
| 1-0 | 12.6% | 7.92 |
| 0-0 | 10.5% | 9.52 |
| 0-1 | 9.3% | 10.70 |
| 2-0 | 8.6% | 11.57 |
Form: Bristol City and Blackburn Rovers in their last five
Bristol City have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +0. Blackburn Rovers have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +0. The results cover every competition in our data.
Bristol City: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep 2026 | Watford (home)EFL Championship | 1-0 | W |
| 15 Sep 2026 | Lincoln City (home)EFL Championship | 0-1 | L |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Southampton (away)EFL Championship | 1-4 | L |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Burnley (away)EFL Championship | 2-1 | W |
| 1 Sep 2026 | Preston North End (away)EFL Championship | 3-1 | W |
Blackburn Rovers: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | Portsmouth (away)EFL Championship | 2-2 | D |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Millwall (home)EFL Championship | 3-1 | W |
| 8 Sep 2026 | Sheffield United (home)EFL Championship | 1-2 | L |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Preston North End (away)EFL Championship | 1-2 | L |
| 1 Sep 2026 | Lincoln City (away)EFL Championship | 0-0 | D |
Bristol City vs Blackburn Rovers head to head
In their last six meetings in our data, Bristol City won 3, Blackburn Rovers won 3 and none was drawn. The most recent, on 24 February 2026, finished Blackburn Rovers 1–2 Bristol City.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb 2026 | Blackburn Rovers – Bristol CityEFL Championship | 1-2 |
| 4 Nov 2025 | Bristol City – Blackburn RoversEFL Championship | 0-1 |
| 25 Jan 2025 | Bristol City – Blackburn RoversEFL Championship | 2-1 |
| 14 Sep 2024 | Blackburn Rovers – Bristol CityEFL Championship | 3-0 |
| 10 Apr 2024 | Bristol City – Blackburn RoversEFL Championship | 5-0 |
| 12 Dec 2023 | Blackburn Rovers – Bristol CityEFL Championship | 2-1 |
The rest of the EFL Championship is on our Championship page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with MegaPari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is MegaPari.
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