EFL Championship
Burnley vs Charlton Athletic prediction: EFL Championship, Tuesday 13 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Burnley host Charlton Athletic in the EFL Championship on Tuesday 13 October, kick-off 21:45 EAT.
Our tips for this match
- Burnley or draw · 80% · Fair odds 1.25
Who will win Burnley vs Charlton Athletic?
Burnley are favourites, though not by much: 55% to win, 26% for the draw and 20% for Charlton Athletic. MegaPari's 1.71 on Burnley is shorter than our fair price of 1.83: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.
One market clears our thresholds for this match: Burnley or draw (80%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | MegaPari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley to win | 55% | 1.83 | 1.71 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.88 | 3.75 |
| Charlton Athletic to win | 20% | 5.07 | 4.57 |
| Burnley or draw Tip | 80% | 1.25 | – |
| Draw or Charlton Athletic | 45% | 2.20 | – |
| Burnley or Charlton Athletic | 74% | 1.35 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71% | 1.41 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.17 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.86 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 | – |
| Both teams to score: yes | 49% | 2.04 | – |
| Both teams to score: no | 51% | 1.97 | – |
Odds: MegaPari, as of 7 October 2026, 20:54 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Burnley vs Charlton Athletic
Expected goals are 1.5 for Burnley and 0.8 for Charlton Athletic, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 46%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 49%.
Burnley vs Charlton Athletic correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-0 at 14%, ahead of 1-1 (12%) and 2-0 (11%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 7 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | 14.4% | 6.96 |
| 1-1 | 12.3% | 8.10 |
| 2-0 | 11.4% | 8.75 |
| 0-0 | 10.1% | 9.89 |
| 2-1 | 9.1% | 10.94 |
Form: Burnley and Charlton Athletic in their last five
Burnley have not won in 5 (3 draws, 2 defeats) and scored 5 in that run. Charlton Athletic have not won in 5 (3 draws, 2 defeats) and scored 2 in that run. The results cover every competition in our data.
Burnley: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | Derby County (home)EFL Championship | 1-1 | D |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Swansea City (away)EFL Championship | 1-3 | L |
| 8 Sep 2026 | Wrexham (away)EFL Championship | 1-1 | D |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Bristol City (home)EFL Championship | 1-2 | L |
| 2 Sep 2026 | Middlesbrough (home)EFL Championship | 1-1 | D |
Charlton Athletic: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | Cardiff City (away)EFL Championship | 1-3 | L |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Portsmouth (home)EFL Championship | 0-0 | D |
| 9 Sep 2026 | Queens Park Rangers (home)EFL Championship | 0-0 | D |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Stoke City (away)EFL Championship | 0-4 | L |
| 2 Sep 2026 | West Bromwich Albion (away)EFL Championship | 1-1 | D |
Burnley vs Charlton Athletic head to head
Burnley and Charlton Athletic have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.
The rest of the EFL Championship is on our Championship page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with MegaPari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is MegaPari.
Promo code: TIPSQUANT