Süper Lig
Caykur Rizespor vs Fenerbahçe prediction: Süper Lig, Saturday 10 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Caykur Rizespor host Fenerbahçe in the Süper Lig on Saturday 10 October, kick-off 19:00 EAT. The match is played at Chaykur Didi (Rize). Caykur Rizespor are 9th in the table with 10 points from 6 games; Fenerbahçe are 6th with 10.
Who will win Caykur Rizespor vs Fenerbahçe?
Fenerbahçe are favourites, though not by much: 56% to win, 23% for the draw and 21% for Caykur Rizespor. MegaPari's 1.75 on Fenerbahçe sits right on our fair price of 1.78.
Two markets clear our thresholds for this match: Fenerbahçe to win (56%) and over 1.5 goals (80%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | MegaPari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Caykur Rizespor to win | 21% | 4.77 | 4.58 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.40 | 4.12 |
| Fenerbahçe to win Tip | 56% | 1.78 | 1.75 |
| Caykur Rizespor or draw | 44% | 2.29 | 2.15 |
| Draw or Fenerbahçe | 79% | 1.27 | 1.22 |
| Caykur Rizespor or Fenerbahçe | 77% | 1.29 | 1.26 |
| Over 1.5 goals Tip | 80% | 1.25 | 1.15 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.73 | 1.69 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.38 | 2.27 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 64% | 1.57 | 1.42 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | 1.75 | 1.61 |
| Both teams to score: no | 43% | 2.33 | 2.17 |
Odds: MegaPari, as of 7 October 2026, 22:36 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Caykur Rizespor vs Fenerbahçe
Expected goals are 1.2 for Caykur Rizespor and 2.0 for Fenerbahçe, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 58%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 57%.
Caykur Rizespor vs Fenerbahçe correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 10%, ahead of 1-2 (10%) and 0-2 (8%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 10 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 10.1% | 9.94 |
| 1-2 | 9.8% | 10.16 |
| 0-2 | 8.5% | 11.78 |
| 0-1 | 8.0% | 12.56 |
| 1-3 | 6.7% | 14.99 |
Form: Caykur Rizespor and Fenerbahçe in their last five
Caykur Rizespor have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +0. Fenerbahçe have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +9. The results cover every competition in our data.
Caykur Rizespor: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2026 | Goztepe (away)Süper Lig | 2-2 | D |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Eyupspor (away)Süper Lig | 2-0 | W |
| 7 Sep 2026 | Alanyaspor (home)Süper Lig | 0-1 | L |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Gaziantep (away)Süper Lig | 2-1 | W |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Samsunspor (home)Süper Lig | 0-2 | L |
Fenerbahçe: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2026 | Eyupspor (home)Süper Lig | 8-0 | W |
| 14 Sep 2026 | Gaziantep (away)Süper Lig | 0-0 | D |
| 10 Sep 2026 | Roma (home)UEFA Champions League | 1-1 | D |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Beşiktaş (home)Süper Lig | 1-2 | L |
| 30 Aug 2026 | Samsunspor (away)Süper Lig | 2-0 | W |
Caykur Rizespor vs Fenerbahçe head to head
In their last four meetings in our data, Caykur Rizespor won none, Fenerbahçe won 3 and 1 was drawn. The most recent, on 17 April 2026, finished Fenerbahçe 2–2 Caykur Rizespor.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr 2026 | Fenerbahçe – Caykur RizesporSüper Lig | 2-2 |
| 23 Nov 2025 | Caykur Rizespor – FenerbahçeSüper Lig | 2-5 |
| 2 Feb 2025 | Fenerbahçe – Caykur RizesporSüper Lig | 3-2 |
| 25 Aug 2024 | Caykur Rizespor – FenerbahçeSüper Lig | 0-5 |
All the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with MegaPari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is MegaPari.
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