Belgian Pro League
Cercle Brugge vs Anderlecht prediction: Belgian Pro League, Saturday 10 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Cercle Brugge host Anderlecht in the Belgian Pro League on Saturday 10 October, kick-off 17:00 EAT. The match is played at Jan Breydel (Bruges). Cercle Brugge are 17th in the table with 3 points from 7 games; Anderlecht are 5th with 13.
Our tips for this match
- Over 1.5 goals · 78% · Fair odds 1.28 · MegaPari 1.16
- Both teams to score: yes · 58% · Fair odds 1.72 · MegaPari 1.55
Who will win Cercle Brugge vs Anderlecht?
Anderlecht are favourites, though not by much: 46% to win, 25% for the draw and 29% for Cercle Brugge. MegaPari's 2.02 on Anderlecht is shorter than our fair price of 2.16: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.
Two markets clear our thresholds for this match: over 1.5 goals (78%) and both teams to score: yes (58%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | MegaPari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cercle Brugge to win | 29% | 3.49 | 3.44 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.00 | 3.74 |
| Anderlecht to win | 46% | 2.16 | 2.02 |
| Cercle Brugge or draw | 54% | 1.86 | 1.79 |
| Draw or Anderlecht | 71% | 1.40 | 1.31 |
| Cercle Brugge or Anderlecht | 75% | 1.33 | 1.27 |
| Over 1.5 goals Tip | 78% | 1.28 | 1.16 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 1.77 | 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 43% | 2.30 | 2.21 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 66% | 1.51 | 1.43 |
| Both teams to score: yes Tip | 58% | 1.72 | 1.55 |
| Both teams to score: no | 42% | 2.40 | 2.30 |
Odds: MegaPari, as of 7 October 2026, 20:54 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Cercle Brugge vs Anderlecht
Expected goals are 1.3 for Cercle Brugge and 1.7 for Anderlecht, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 57%. Both teams score in this match with a probability of 58%.
Cercle Brugge vs Anderlecht correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 11%, ahead of 1-2 (9%) and 0-1 (8%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 9 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 11.4% | 8.77 |
| 1-2 | 9.3% | 10.79 |
| 0-1 | 7.8% | 12.80 |
| 2-1 | 7.3% | 13.72 |
| 0-2 | 7.0% | 14.33 |
Form: Cercle Brugge and Anderlecht in their last five
Cercle Brugge have not won in 5 (1 draw, 4 defeats) and scored 3 in that run. Anderlecht have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +4. The results cover every competition in our data.
Cercle Brugge: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | R. Charleroi (away)Belgian Pro League | 2-3 | L |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven (away)Belgian Pro League | 1-1 | D |
| 6 Sep 2026 | Gent (home)Belgian Pro League | 0-3 | L |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Lommel SK (home)Belgian Pro League | 0-1 | L |
| 23 Aug 2026 | Club Brugge (away)Belgian Pro League | 0-1 | L |
Anderlecht: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | Zulte Waregem (home)Belgian Pro League | 3-0 | W |
| 16 Sep 2026 | Lyon (home)UEFA Europa League | 1-2 | L |
| 11 Sep 2026 | Mechelen (away)Belgian Pro League | 1-0 | W |
| 6 Sep 2026 | Genk (home)Belgian Pro League | 0-0 | D |
| 3 Sep 2026 | KV Kortrijk (home)Belgian Pro League | 1-0 | W |
Cercle Brugge vs Anderlecht head to head
In their last four meetings in our data, Cercle Brugge won 1, Anderlecht won 3 and none was drawn. The most recent, on 22 March 2026, finished Anderlecht 2–3 Cercle Brugge.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar 2026 | Anderlecht – Cercle BruggeBelgian Pro League | 2-3 |
| 3 Aug 2025 | Cercle Brugge – AnderlechtBelgian Pro League | 0-2 |
| 16 Mar 2025 | Anderlecht – Cercle BruggeBelgian Pro League | 3-0 |
| 10 Nov 2024 | Cercle Brugge – AnderlechtBelgian Pro League | 0-5 |
All the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with MegaPari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is MegaPari.
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