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Belgian Pro League

Cercle Brugge vs Anderlecht prediction: Belgian Pro League, Saturday 10 October

TipsQuant editorial team · Updated

Cercle Brugge host Anderlecht in the Belgian Pro League on Saturday 10 October, kick-off 17:00 EAT. The match is played at Jan Breydel (Bruges). Cercle Brugge are 17th in the table with 3 points from 7 games; Anderlecht are 5th with 13.

Our tips for this match

  • Over 1.5 goals · 78% · Fair odds 1.28 · MegaPari 1.16
  • Both teams to score: yes · 58% · Fair odds 1.72 · MegaPari 1.55

Who will win Cercle Brugge vs Anderlecht?

Anderlecht are favourites, though not by much: 46% to win, 25% for the draw and 29% for Cercle Brugge. MegaPari's 2.02 on Anderlecht is shorter than our fair price of 2.16: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.

Two markets clear our thresholds for this match: over 1.5 goals (78%) and both teams to score: yes (58%).

BetProbabilityFair oddsMegaPari
Cercle Brugge to win 29% 3.49 3.44
Draw 25% 4.00 3.74
Anderlecht to win 46% 2.16 2.02
Cercle Brugge or draw 54% 1.86 1.79
Draw or Anderlecht 71% 1.40 1.31
Cercle Brugge or Anderlecht 75% 1.33 1.27
Over 1.5 goals Tip 78% 1.28 1.16
Over 2.5 goals 57% 1.77 1.67
Under 2.5 goals 43% 2.30 2.21
Under 3.5 goals 66% 1.51 1.43
Both teams to score: yes Tip 58% 1.72 1.55
Both teams to score: no 42% 2.40 2.30

Odds: MegaPari, as of 7 October 2026, 20:54 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Cercle Brugge vs Anderlecht

Expected goals are 1.3 for Cercle Brugge and 1.7 for Anderlecht, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 57%. Both teams score in this match with a probability of 58%.

Cercle Brugge vs Anderlecht correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 11%, ahead of 1-2 (9%) and 0-1 (8%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 9 matches like this one.

Correct scoreProbabilityFair odds
1-111.4%8.77
1-29.3%10.79
0-17.8%12.80
2-17.3%13.72
0-27.0%14.33

Form: Cercle Brugge and Anderlecht in their last five

Cercle Brugge have not won in 5 (1 draw, 4 defeats) and scored 3 in that run. Anderlecht have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +4. The results cover every competition in our data.

Cercle Brugge: last five matches

DateOpponentScoreResult
19 Sep 2026R. Charleroi (away)Belgian Pro League2-3L
12 Sep 2026Oud-Heverlee Leuven (away)Belgian Pro League1-1D
6 Sep 2026Gent (home)Belgian Pro League0-3L
29 Aug 2026Lommel SK (home)Belgian Pro League0-1L
23 Aug 2026Club Brugge (away)Belgian Pro League0-1L

Anderlecht: last five matches

DateOpponentScoreResult
19 Sep 2026Zulte Waregem (home)Belgian Pro League3-0W
16 Sep 2026Lyon (home)UEFA Europa League1-2L
11 Sep 2026Mechelen (away)Belgian Pro League1-0W
6 Sep 2026Genk (home)Belgian Pro League0-0D
3 Sep 2026KV Kortrijk (home)Belgian Pro League1-0W

Cercle Brugge vs Anderlecht head to head

In their last four meetings in our data, Cercle Brugge won 1, Anderlecht won 3 and none was drawn. The most recent, on 22 March 2026, finished Anderlecht 2–3 Cercle Brugge.

DateMatchScore
22 Mar 2026Anderlecht – Cercle BruggeBelgian Pro League2-3
3 Aug 2025Cercle Brugge – AnderlechtBelgian Pro League0-2
16 Mar 2025Anderlecht – Cercle BruggeBelgian Pro League3-0
10 Nov 2024Cercle Brugge – AnderlechtBelgian Pro League0-5

All the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with MegaPari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.

Where to place this bet

Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is MegaPari.

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