EFL Championship
Charlton Athletic vs Bristol City prediction: EFL Championship, Saturday 10 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Charlton Athletic
Bristol City
- Charlton Athletic
- 32%MegaPari 3.13
- Draw
- 30%MegaPari 3.24
- Bristol City
- 39%MegaPari 2.26
- Under 3.5 goals79% · fair 1.271.22Bet
xG 1.1–1.1 · likeliest 1-1 (14%)
Charlton Athletic host Bristol City in the EFL Championship on Saturday 10 October, kick-off 14:30 EAT.
Who will win Charlton Athletic vs Bristol City?
There is little to separate the sides: Charlton Athletic 32%, the draw 30%, Bristol City 39%. At 30% the draw is a real option, more likely than in most matches. MegaPari's 2.26 on Bristol City is shorter than our fair price of 2.58: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.
One market clears our thresholds for this match: under 3.5 goals (79%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | MegaPari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charlton Athletic to win | 32% | 3.17 | 3.13 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.36 | 3.24 |
| Bristol City to win | 39% | 2.58 | 2.26 |
| Charlton Athletic or draw | 61% | 1.63 | 1.60 |
| Draw or Bristol City | 68% | 1.46 | 1.33 |
| Charlton Athletic or Bristol City | 70% | 1.42 | 1.31 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68% | 1.46 | 1.28 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 2.25 | 2.03 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 56% | 1.80 | 1.73 |
| Under 3.5 goals Tip | 79% | 1.27 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 51% | 1.98 | 1.78 |
| Both teams to score: no | 49% | 2.02 | 1.93 |
Odds: MegaPari, as of 7 October 2026, 22:36 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Charlton Athletic vs Bristol City
Expected goals are 1.1 for Charlton Athletic and 1.1 for Bristol City, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 44%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 51%.
Charlton Athletic vs Bristol City correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 14%, ahead of 0-1 (12%) and 0-0 (12%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 7 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 14.0% | 7.15 |
| 0-1 | 12.3% | 8.13 |
| 0-0 | 12.2% | 8.20 |
| 1-0 | 11.7% | 8.57 |
| 1-2 | 7.4% | 13.50 |
Form: Charlton Athletic and Bristol City in their last five
Charlton Athletic have not won in 5 (3 draws, 2 defeats) and scored 2 in that run. Bristol City have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +0. The results cover every competition in our data.
Charlton Athletic: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | Cardiff City (away)EFL Championship | 1-3 | L |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Portsmouth (home)EFL Championship | 0-0 | D |
| 9 Sep 2026 | Queens Park Rangers (home)EFL Championship | 0-0 | D |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Stoke City (away)EFL Championship | 0-4 | L |
| 2 Sep 2026 | West Bromwich Albion (away)EFL Championship | 1-1 | D |
Bristol City: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep 2026 | Watford (home)EFL Championship | 1-0 | W |
| 15 Sep 2026 | Lincoln City (home)EFL Championship | 0-1 | L |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Southampton (away)EFL Championship | 1-4 | L |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Burnley (away)EFL Championship | 2-1 | W |
| 1 Sep 2026 | Preston North End (away)EFL Championship | 3-1 | W |
Charlton Athletic vs Bristol City head to head
In their last two meetings in our data, Charlton Athletic won none, Bristol City won 1 and 1 was drawn. The most recent, on 3 April 2026, finished Charlton Athletic 1–2 Bristol City.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 3 Apr 2026 | Charlton Athletic – Bristol CityEFL Championship | 1-2 |
| 16 Aug 2025 | Bristol City – Charlton AthleticEFL Championship | 0-0 |
The rest of the EFL Championship is on our Championship page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with MegaPari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is MegaPari.
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