Uganda Premier League
Entebbe UPPC vs Police prediction: Uganda Premier League, Friday 9 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Entebbe UPPC host Police in the Uganda Premier League on Friday 9 October, kick-off 17:00 EAT. Entebbe UPPC are 6th in the table with 7 points from 4 games; Police are 5th with 7.
Our tips for this match
- Entebbe UPPC or draw · 81% · Fair odds 1.24
- Under 2.5 goals · 65% · Fair odds 1.54
- Under 3.5 goals · 85% · Fair odds 1.18
Who will win Entebbe UPPC vs Police?
Entebbe UPPC are favourites, though not by much: 48% to win, 33% for the draw and 19% for Police.
Three markets clear our thresholds for this match: Entebbe UPPC or draw (81%), under 2.5 goals (65%) and under 3.5 goals (85%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Entebbe UPPC to win | 48% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 33% | 3.02 |
| Police to win | 19% | 5.19 |
| Entebbe UPPC or draw Tip | 81% | 1.24 |
| Draw or Police | 52% | 1.91 |
| Entebbe UPPC or Police | 67% | 1.50 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 62% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 35% | 2.85 |
| Under 2.5 goals Tip | 65% | 1.54 |
| Under 3.5 goals Tip | 85% | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 43% | 2.33 |
| Both teams to score: no | 57% | 1.75 |
Goals in Entebbe UPPC vs Police
The numbers point to a tight game: expected goals of 1.1 and 0.6, and under 2.5 goals at 65%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 43%.
Entebbe UPPC vs Police correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-0 at 20%, ahead of 0-0 (18%) and 1-1 (13%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 5 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | 19.5% | 5.12 |
| 0-0 | 18.4% | 5.43 |
| 1-1 | 12.5% | 7.98 |
| 2-0 | 11.2% | 8.94 |
| 0-1 | 10.3% | 9.71 |
Form: Entebbe UPPC and Police in their last five
Entebbe UPPC have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +5. Police have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +2. The results cover every competition in our data.
Entebbe UPPC: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep 2026 | Mbarara City (away)Uganda Premier League | 0-0 | D |
| 9 Sep 2026 | Lugazi (home)Uganda Premier League | 0-1 | L |
| 1 Sep 2026 | UPDF (home)Uganda Premier League | 2-1 | W |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Vipers (away)Uganda Premier League | 1-0 | W |
| 23 May 2026 | BUL (home)Uganda Premier League | 4-0 | W |
Police: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep 2026 | Lugazi (away)Uganda Premier League | 2-0 | W |
| 10 Sep 2026 | UPDF (home)Uganda Premier League | 0-0 | D |
| 2 Sep 2026 | Blacks Power (away)Uganda Premier League | 0-1 | L |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Mbarara City (home)Uganda Premier League | 1-0 | W |
| 23 May 2026 | Kitara (away)Uganda Premier League | 2-2 | D |
Entebbe UPPC vs Police head to head
In their last two meetings in our data, Entebbe UPPC won none, Police won 1 and 1 was drawn. The most recent, on 19 May 2026, finished Police 1–1 Entebbe UPPC.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 19 May 2026 | Police – Entebbe UPPCUganda Premier League | 1-1 |
| 19 Nov 2025 | Entebbe UPPC – PoliceUganda Premier League | 0-2 |
The rest of the Uganda Premier League is on our Uganda Premier League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with MegaPari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is MegaPari.
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