Scottish Premiership
Falkirk vs Dundee prediction: Scottish Premiership, Saturday 10 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Falkirk host Dundee in the Scottish Premiership on Saturday 10 October, kick-off 17:00 EAT. The match is played at Falkirk (Falkirk). Falkirk are 11th in the table with 6 points from 7 games; Dundee are 4th with 10.
Our tips for this match
No tip: no market clears our thresholds for this match.
Who will win Falkirk vs Dundee?
Falkirk are favourites, though not by much: 46% to win, 26% for the draw and 28% for Dundee. MegaPari's 2.01 on Falkirk is shorter than our fair price of 2.18: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.
No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | MegaPari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Falkirk to win | 46% | 2.18 | 2.01 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.81 | 3.48 |
| Dundee to win | 28% | 3.59 | 3.50 |
| Falkirk or draw | 72% | 1.39 | 1.27 |
| Draw or Dundee | 54% | 1.85 | 1.75 |
| Falkirk or Dundee | 74% | 1.36 | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 1.31 | 1.19 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.86 | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.16 | 2.04 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 69% | 1.45 | 1.36 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | 1.78 | 1.61 |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | 2.29 | 2.18 |
Odds: MegaPari, as of 7 October 2026, 20:54 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Falkirk vs Dundee
Expected goals are 1.6 for Falkirk and 1.2 for Dundee, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 54%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 56%.
Falkirk vs Dundee correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 12%, ahead of 2-1 (9%) and 1-0 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 12.2% | 8.23 |
| 2-1 | 9.3% | 10.80 |
| 1-0 | 9.1% | 11.04 |
| 2-0 | 7.5% | 13.25 |
| 1-2 | 7.2% | 13.97 |
Form: Falkirk and Dundee in their last five
Falkirk have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -1. Dundee have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +1. The results cover every competition in our data.
Falkirk: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | St. Johnstone (away)Scottish Premiership | 1-1 | D |
| 15 Sep 2026 | Heart of Midlothian (home)Scottish Premiership | 2-1 | W |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Dundee United (away)Scottish Premiership | 1-1 | D |
| 2 Sep 2026 | Rangers (home)Scottish Premiership | 1-2 | L |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Celtic (away)Scottish Premiership | 1-2 | L |
Dundee: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | Motherwell (home)Scottish Premiership | 2-1 | W |
| 6 Sep 2026 | Heart of Midlothian (away)Scottish Premiership | 1-2 | L |
| 2 Sep 2026 | St. Johnstone (home)Scottish Premiership | 1-1 | D |
| 30 Aug 2026 | Hibernian (home)Scottish Premiership | 1-2 | L |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Dundee United (away)Scottish Premiership | 2-0 | W |
Falkirk vs Dundee head to head
In their last three meetings in our data, Falkirk won 2, Dundee won 1 and none was drawn. The most recent, on 11 February 2026, finished Falkirk 1–0 Dundee.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb 2026 | Falkirk – DundeeScottish Premiership | 1-0 |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Dundee – FalkirkScottish Premiership | 1-0 |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Falkirk – DundeeScottish Premiership | 2-1 |
All the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with MegaPari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is MegaPari.
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