Süper Lig
Gaziantep vs Arca Corum prediction: Süper Lig, Sunday 11 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Gaziantep host Arca Corum in the Süper Lig on Sunday 11 October, kick-off 16:00 EAT. The match is played at Gaziantep Arena (Gaziantep). Gaziantep are 10th in the table with 8 points from 6 games; Arca Corum are 11th with 7.
Our tips for this match
No tip: no market clears our thresholds for this match.
Who will win Gaziantep vs Arca Corum?
There is little to separate the sides: Gaziantep 34%, the draw 27%, Arca Corum 40%. MegaPari pays 2.64 on Arca Corum, more than our fair price of 2.51.
No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | MegaPari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gaziantep to win | 34% | 2.99 | 2.69 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.74 | 3.56 |
| Arca Corum to win | 40% | 2.51 | 2.64 |
| Gaziantep or draw | 60% | 1.66 | 1.52 |
| Draw or Arca Corum | 67% | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Gaziantep or Arca Corum | 73% | 1.36 | 1.32 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 | 1.22 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.93 | 1.90 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.07 | 1.98 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 70% | 1.43 | 1.29 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | 1.80 | 1.65 |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | 2.24 | 2.11 |
Odds: MegaPari, as of 7 October 2026, 20:54 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Gaziantep vs Arca Corum
Expected goals are 1.2 for Gaziantep and 1.5 for Arca Corum, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 52%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 55%.
Gaziantep vs Arca Corum correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 12%, ahead of 0-1 (9%) and 1-2 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 12.5% | 8.03 |
| 0-1 | 9.2% | 10.93 |
| 1-2 | 9.0% | 11.10 |
| 1-0 | 7.5% | 13.35 |
| 2-1 | 7.5% | 13.40 |
Form: Gaziantep and Arca Corum in their last five
Gaziantep have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +0. Arca Corum have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +1. The results cover every competition in our data.
Gaziantep: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | Kocaelispor (away)Süper Lig | 0-2 | L |
| 14 Sep 2026 | Fenerbahçe (home)Süper Lig | 0-0 | D |
| 7 Sep 2026 | Goztepe (away)Süper Lig | 4-2 | W |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Caykur Rizespor (home)Süper Lig | 1-2 | L |
| 23 Aug 2026 | Eyupspor (away)Süper Lig | 1-0 | W |
Arca Corum: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | Alanyaspor (home)Süper Lig | 1-2 | L |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Samsunspor (away)Süper Lig | 5-1 | W |
| 6 Sep 2026 | Eyupspor (home)Süper Lig | 3-0 | W |
| 31 Aug 2026 | Beşiktaş (away)Süper Lig | 2-6 | L |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Kasimpasa (home)Süper Lig | 0-1 | L |
Gaziantep vs Arca Corum head to head
Gaziantep and Arca Corum have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.
All the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with MegaPari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is MegaPari.
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