Belgian Pro League
Genk vs KV Kortrijk prediction: Belgian Pro League, Saturday 10 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Genk host KV Kortrijk in the Belgian Pro League on Saturday 10 October, kick-off 21:45 EAT. The match is played at Cegeka Arena (Genk). Genk are 10th in the table with 9 points from 7 games; KV Kortrijk are 16th with 3.
Our tips for this match
- Genk to win · 67% · Fair odds 1.50 · MegaPari 1.47
- Genk or draw · 86% · Fair odds 1.16 · MegaPari 1.12
Who will win Genk vs KV Kortrijk?
The model makes Genk clear favourites at 67%, with the draw at 20% and KV Kortrijk at 14%. MegaPari's 1.47 on Genk sits right on our fair price of 1.50.
Two markets clear our thresholds for this match: Genk to win (67%) and Genk or draw (86%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | MegaPari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Genk to win Tip | 67% | 1.50 | 1.47 |
| Draw | 20% | 5.07 | 4.70 |
| KV Kortrijk to win | 14% | 7.40 | 6.20 |
| Genk or draw Tip | 86% | 1.16 | 1.12 |
| Draw or KV Kortrijk | 33% | 3.01 | 2.65 |
| Genk or KV Kortrijk | 80% | 1.25 | 1.19 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 1.29 | 1.13 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.74 | 1.58 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.36 | 2.37 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 67% | 1.49 | 1.54 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | 1.89 | 1.69 |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | 2.13 | 2.05 |
Odds: MegaPari, as of 7 October 2026, 20:54 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Genk vs KV Kortrijk
Expected goals are 2.2 for Genk and 0.8 for KV Kortrijk, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 58%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 53%.
Genk vs KV Kortrijk correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 2-0 at 12%, ahead of 1-0 (11%) and 2-1 (10%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 2-0 | 12.3% | 8.13 |
| 1-0 | 11.0% | 9.12 |
| 2-1 | 9.6% | 10.41 |
| 1-1 | 9.2% | 10.88 |
| 3-0 | 8.9% | 11.21 |
Form: Genk and KV Kortrijk in their last five
Genk have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +1. KV Kortrijk have won 1 and lost 4 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -7. The results cover every competition in our data.
Genk: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2026 | Club Brugge (away)Belgian Pro League | 0-3 | L |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Gent (home)Belgian Pro League | 1-1 | D |
| 6 Sep 2026 | Anderlecht (away)Belgian Pro League | 0-0 | D |
| 28 Aug 2026 | S.K. Beveren (home)Belgian Pro League | 4-0 | W |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Antwerp (away)Belgian Pro League | 4-4 | D |
KV Kortrijk: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2026 | S.K. Beveren (home)Belgian Pro League | 1-0 | W |
| 13 Sep 2026 | RAAL La Louviere (away)Belgian Pro League | 0-3 | L |
| 6 Sep 2026 | Zulte Waregem (home)Belgian Pro League | 0-2 | L |
| 3 Sep 2026 | Anderlecht (away)Belgian Pro League | 0-1 | L |
| 29 Aug 2026 | R. Charleroi (home)Belgian Pro League | 1-3 | L |
Genk vs KV Kortrijk head to head
In their last two meetings in our data, Genk won 1, KV Kortrijk won 1 and none was drawn. The most recent, on 7 December 2024, finished Genk 3–2 KV Kortrijk.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 7 Dec 2024 | Genk – KV KortrijkBelgian Pro League | 3-2 |
| 5 Oct 2024 | KV Kortrijk – GenkBelgian Pro League | 2-1 |
All the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with MegaPari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is MegaPari.
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