Eredivisie
Go Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam prediction: Eredivisie, Saturday 10 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Go Ahead Eagles host Sparta Rotterdam in Eredivisie on Saturday 10 October, kick-off 17:30 EAT. The match is played at De Adelarshorst (Deventer). Go Ahead Eagles are 9th in the table with 10 points from 7 games; Sparta Rotterdam are 12th with 5.
Our tips for this match
- Over 1.5 goals · 79% · Fair odds 1.27 · MegaPari 1.06
- Over 2.5 goals · 62% · Fair odds 1.61 · MegaPari 1.35
- Both teams to score: yes · 61% · Fair odds 1.63 · MegaPari 1.39
Who will win Go Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam?
Go Ahead Eagles are favourites, though not by much: 55% to win, 23% for the draw and 22% for Sparta Rotterdam. MegaPari's 1.76 on Go Ahead Eagles is shorter than our fair price of 1.83: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.
Three markets clear our thresholds for this match: over 1.5 goals (79%), over 2.5 goals (62%) and both teams to score: yes (61%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | MegaPari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Go Ahead Eagles to win | 55% | 1.83 | 1.76 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.30 | 4.00 |
| Sparta Rotterdam to win | 22% | 4.51 | 4.22 |
| Go Ahead Eagles or draw | 78% | 1.28 | 1.23 |
| Draw or Sparta Rotterdam | 45% | 2.20 | 2.06 |
| Go Ahead Eagles or Sparta Rotterdam | 77% | 1.30 | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 goals Tip | 79% | 1.27 | 1.06 |
| Over 2.5 goals Tip | 62% | 1.61 | 1.35 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.64 | 2.74 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.53 | 1.82 |
| Both teams to score: yes Tip | 61% | 1.63 | 1.39 |
| Both teams to score: no | 39% | 2.59 | 2.77 |
Odds: MegaPari, as of 7 October 2026, 20:54 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Go Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam
Goals are expected: 1.9 for Go Ahead Eagles and 1.1 for Sparta Rotterdam, 3.1 in all, which puts over 2.5 goals at 62%. Both teams score in this match with a probability of 61%.
Go Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 11%, ahead of 2-1 (10%) and 2-0 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 9 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 10.5% | 9.49 |
| 2-1 | 9.8% | 10.15 |
| 2-0 | 8.6% | 11.67 |
| 1-0 | 8.4% | 11.89 |
| 3-1 | 6.4% | 15.67 |
Form: Go Ahead Eagles and Sparta Rotterdam in their last five
Go Ahead Eagles have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -1. Sparta Rotterdam have not won in 5 (2 draws, 3 defeats) and scored 7 in that run. The results cover every competition in our data.
Go Ahead Eagles: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2026 | NEC (away)Eredivisie | 1-1 | D |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Groningen (home)Eredivisie | 1-1 | D |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Utrecht (away)Eredivisie | 3-3 | D |
| 29 Aug 2026 | AZ (away)Eredivisie | 2-5 | L |
| 23 Aug 2026 | ADO Den Haag (home)Eredivisie | 3-1 | W |
Sparta Rotterdam: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | Heerenveen (home)Eredivisie | 0-4 | L |
| 13 Sep 2026 | PSV Eindhoven (away)Eredivisie | 1-4 | L |
| 4 Sep 2026 | PEC Zwolle (home)Eredivisie | 2-2 | D |
| 29 Aug 2026 | SBV Excelsior (away)Eredivisie | 1-2 | L |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Utrecht (home)Eredivisie | 3-3 | D |
Go Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam head to head
In their last six meetings in our data, Go Ahead Eagles won 3, Sparta Rotterdam won 1 and 2 were drawn. The most recent, on 3 May 2026, finished Sparta Rotterdam 2–2 Go Ahead Eagles.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 3 May 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam – Go Ahead EaglesEredivisie | 2-2 |
| 23 Aug 2025 | Go Ahead Eagles – Sparta RotterdamEredivisie | 0-3 |
| 14 Feb 2025 | Go Ahead Eagles – Sparta RotterdamEredivisie | 1-0 |
| 15 Sep 2024 | Sparta Rotterdam – Go Ahead EaglesEredivisie | 1-2 |
| 21 Jan 2024 | Sparta Rotterdam – Go Ahead EaglesEredivisie | 0-2 |
| 22 Oct 2023 | Go Ahead Eagles – Sparta RotterdamEredivisie | 0-0 |
All the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with MegaPari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is MegaPari.
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