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Süper Lig

Konyaspor vs İstanbul Başakşehir prediction: Süper Lig, Sunday 11 October

TipsQuant editorial team · Updated

Konyaspor

İstanbul Başakşehir

Konyaspor
35%MegaPari 2.72
Draw
27%MegaPari 3.65
İstanbul Başakşehir
39%MegaPari 2.57

No tip: no market clears our thresholds for this match.

xG 1.3–1.4 · likeliest 1-1 (13%)

Konyaspor host İstanbul Başakşehir in the Süper Lig on Sunday 11 October, kick-off 13:30 EAT. The match is played at Konya Sports Complex (Konya). Konyaspor are 15th in the table with 4 points from 6 games; İstanbul Başakşehir are 12th with 7.

Who will win Konyaspor vs İstanbul Başakşehir?

There is little to separate the sides: Konyaspor 35%, the draw 27%, İstanbul Başakşehir 39%. MegaPari's 2.57 on İstanbul Başakşehir sits right on our fair price of 2.59.

No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.

BetProbabilityFair oddsMegaPari
Konyaspor to win 35% 2.88 2.72
Draw 27% 3.76 3.65
İstanbul Başakşehir to win 39% 2.59 2.57
Konyaspor or draw 61% 1.63 1.55
Draw or İstanbul Başakşehir 65% 1.53 1.50
Konyaspor or İstanbul Başakşehir 73% 1.36 1.31
Over 1.5 goals 75% 1.33 1.19
Over 2.5 goals 53% 1.89 1.79
Under 2.5 goals 47% 2.13 2.12
Under 3.5 goals 71% 1.42 1.35
Both teams to score: yes 57% 1.77 1.58
Both teams to score: no 43% 2.30 2.23

Odds: MegaPari, as of 7 October 2026, 22:36 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Konyaspor vs İstanbul Başakşehir

Expected goals are 1.3 for Konyaspor and 1.4 for İstanbul Başakşehir, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 53%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 57%.

Konyaspor vs İstanbul Başakşehir correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 13%, ahead of 0-1 (9%) and 1-2 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.

Correct scoreProbabilityFair odds
1-112.7%7.89
0-19.0%11.16
1-28.6%11.57
1-08.1%12.32
2-17.9%12.71

Form: Konyaspor and İstanbul Başakşehir in their last five

Konyaspor have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -3. İstanbul Başakşehir have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -3. The results cover every competition in our data.

Konyaspor: last five matches

DateOpponentScoreResult
18 Sep 2026Kasimpasa (away)Süper Lig0-0D
12 Sep 2026Trabzonspor (home)Süper Lig1-0W
5 Sep 2026BB Erzurumspor (away)Süper Lig0-1L
29 Aug 2026Kocaelispor (home)Süper Lig1-2L
22 Aug 2026Fenerbahçe (away)Süper Lig2-4L

İstanbul Başakşehir: last five matches

DateOpponentScoreResult
19 Sep 2026Genclerbirligi (home)Süper Lig4-0W
13 Sep 2026Amedspor (away)Süper Lig0-5L
4 Sep 2026Galatasaray (home)Süper Lig2-3L
30 Aug 2026Kasimpasa (home)Süper Lig1-1D
23 Aug 2026Trabzonspor (away)Süper Lig1-2L

Konyaspor vs İstanbul Başakşehir head to head

In their last four meetings in our data, Konyaspor won 2, İstanbul Başakşehir won 2 and none was drawn. The most recent, on 27 February 2026, finished İstanbul Başakşehir 2–0 Konyaspor.

DateMatchScore
27 Feb 2026İstanbul Başakşehir – KonyasporSüper Lig2-0
28 Sep 2025Konyaspor – İstanbul BaşakşehirSüper Lig2-1
5 Apr 2025İstanbul Başakşehir – KonyasporSüper Lig1-0
3 Nov 2024Konyaspor – İstanbul BaşakşehirSüper Lig3-2

All the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with MegaPari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.

Where to place this bet

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