Süper Lig
Konyaspor vs İstanbul Başakşehir prediction: Süper Lig, Sunday 11 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Konyaspor
İstanbul Başakşehir
- Konyaspor
- 35%MegaPari 2.72
- Draw
- 27%MegaPari 3.65
- İstanbul Başakşehir
- 39%MegaPari 2.57
No tip: no market clears our thresholds for this match.
xG 1.3–1.4 · likeliest 1-1 (13%)
Konyaspor host İstanbul Başakşehir in the Süper Lig on Sunday 11 October, kick-off 13:30 EAT. The match is played at Konya Sports Complex (Konya). Konyaspor are 15th in the table with 4 points from 6 games; İstanbul Başakşehir are 12th with 7.
Who will win Konyaspor vs İstanbul Başakşehir?
There is little to separate the sides: Konyaspor 35%, the draw 27%, İstanbul Başakşehir 39%. MegaPari's 2.57 on İstanbul Başakşehir sits right on our fair price of 2.59.
No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | MegaPari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Konyaspor to win | 35% | 2.88 | 2.72 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.76 | 3.65 |
| İstanbul Başakşehir to win | 39% | 2.59 | 2.57 |
| Konyaspor or draw | 61% | 1.63 | 1.55 |
| Draw or İstanbul Başakşehir | 65% | 1.53 | 1.50 |
| Konyaspor or İstanbul Başakşehir | 73% | 1.36 | 1.31 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 1.33 | 1.19 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.89 | 1.79 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.13 | 2.12 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 71% | 1.42 | 1.35 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | 1.77 | 1.58 |
| Both teams to score: no | 43% | 2.30 | 2.23 |
Odds: MegaPari, as of 7 October 2026, 22:36 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Konyaspor vs İstanbul Başakşehir
Expected goals are 1.3 for Konyaspor and 1.4 for İstanbul Başakşehir, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 53%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 57%.
Konyaspor vs İstanbul Başakşehir correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 13%, ahead of 0-1 (9%) and 1-2 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 12.7% | 7.89 |
| 0-1 | 9.0% | 11.16 |
| 1-2 | 8.6% | 11.57 |
| 1-0 | 8.1% | 12.32 |
| 2-1 | 7.9% | 12.71 |
Form: Konyaspor and İstanbul Başakşehir in their last five
Konyaspor have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -3. İstanbul Başakşehir have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -3. The results cover every competition in our data.
Konyaspor: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep 2026 | Kasimpasa (away)Süper Lig | 0-0 | D |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Trabzonspor (home)Süper Lig | 1-0 | W |
| 5 Sep 2026 | BB Erzurumspor (away)Süper Lig | 0-1 | L |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Kocaelispor (home)Süper Lig | 1-2 | L |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Fenerbahçe (away)Süper Lig | 2-4 | L |
İstanbul Başakşehir: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | Genclerbirligi (home)Süper Lig | 4-0 | W |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Amedspor (away)Süper Lig | 0-5 | L |
| 4 Sep 2026 | Galatasaray (home)Süper Lig | 2-3 | L |
| 30 Aug 2026 | Kasimpasa (home)Süper Lig | 1-1 | D |
| 23 Aug 2026 | Trabzonspor (away)Süper Lig | 1-2 | L |
Konyaspor vs İstanbul Başakşehir head to head
In their last four meetings in our data, Konyaspor won 2, İstanbul Başakşehir won 2 and none was drawn. The most recent, on 27 February 2026, finished İstanbul Başakşehir 2–0 Konyaspor.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb 2026 | İstanbul Başakşehir – KonyasporSüper Lig | 2-0 |
| 28 Sep 2025 | Konyaspor – İstanbul BaşakşehirSüper Lig | 2-1 |
| 5 Apr 2025 | İstanbul Başakşehir – KonyasporSüper Lig | 1-0 |
| 3 Nov 2024 | Konyaspor – İstanbul BaşakşehirSüper Lig | 3-2 |
All the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with MegaPari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is MegaPari.
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