UEFA Champions League
LASK vs Liverpool prediction: UEFA Champions League, Wednesday 14 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
LASK host Liverpool in the UEFA Champions League on Wednesday 14 October, kick-off 19:45 EAT. The match is played at Raiffeisen Arena (Linz). LASK are 28th in the table with 0 points from 1 games; Liverpool are 13th with 3.
Our tips for this match
- Liverpool to win · 65% · Fair odds 1.55 · MegaPari 1.29
- Draw or Liverpool · 83% · Fair odds 1.20 · MegaPari 1.06
- Over 1.5 goals · 80% · Fair odds 1.25 · MegaPari 1.06
- Over 2.5 goals · 64% · Fair odds 1.57 · MegaPari 1.33
Who will win LASK vs Liverpool?
The model makes Liverpool clear favourites at 65%, with the draw at 19% and LASK at 17%. MegaPari's 1.29 on Liverpool is shorter than our fair price of 1.55: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.
Four markets clear our thresholds for this match: Liverpool to win (65%), draw or Liverpool (83%), over 1.5 goals (80%) and over 2.5 goals (64%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | MegaPari |
|---|---|---|---|
| LASK to win | 17% | 6.00 | 11.00 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.36 | 6.81 |
| Liverpool to win Tip | 65% | 1.55 | 1.29 |
| LASK or draw | 35% | 2.83 | 4.02 |
| Draw or Liverpool Tip | 83% | 1.20 | 1.06 |
| LASK or Liverpool | 81% | 1.23 | 1.14 |
| Over 1.5 goals Tip | 80% | 1.25 | 1.06 |
| Over 2.5 goals Tip | 64% | 1.57 | 1.33 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 36% | 2.76 | 2.96 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 64% | 1.57 | 1.94 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | 1.78 | 1.70 |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | 2.28 | 2.05 |
Odds: MegaPari, as of 7 October 2026, 20:54 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in LASK vs Liverpool
Goals are expected: 1.3 for LASK and 1.9 for Liverpool, 3.2 in all, which puts over 2.5 goals at 64%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 56%.
LASK vs Liverpool correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 10%, ahead of 1-2 (10%) and 0-2 (8%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 10 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 10.3% | 9.69 |
| 1-2 | 9.7% | 10.36 |
| 0-2 | 7.6% | 13.12 |
| 0-1 | 7.4% | 13.44 |
| 2-1 | 6.3% | 15.90 |
Form: LASK and Liverpool in their last five
LASK have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +3. Liverpool are unbeaten in 5 (3 wins, 2 draws), with 7 goals scored and 3 conceded. The results cover every competition in our data.
LASK: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2026 | Hartberg (away)Austrian Bundesliga | 3-3 | D |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Sturm Graz (away)Austrian Bundesliga | 1-2 | L |
| 8 Sep 2026 | AEK Athens (away)UEFA Champions League | 0-1 | L |
| 1 Sep 2026 | Wolfsberger (away)Austrian Bundesliga | 3-1 | W |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Rheindorf Altach (home)Austrian Bundesliga | 3-0 | W |
Liverpool: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2026 | Bournemouth (away)Premier League | 1-0 | W |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Fulham (home)Premier League | 0-0 | D |
| 9 Sep 2026 | Atlético Madrid (home)UEFA Champions League | 2-1 | W |
| 4 Sep 2026 | Ipswich Town (away)Premier League | 2-0 | W |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Nottingham Forest (home)Premier League | 2-2 | D |
LASK vs Liverpool head to head
The two have met once in our data: on 30 November 2023, Liverpool 4–0 LASK.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov 2023 | Liverpool – LASKUEFA Europa League | 4-0 |
The rest of the UEFA Champions League is on our Champions League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with MegaPari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is MegaPari.
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