Lincoln City vs West Ham prediction: EFL Championship, Wednesday 14 October

Lincoln City host West Ham in the EFL Championship on Wednesday 14 October, kick-off 22:00 EAT.

Who will win Lincoln City vs West Ham?

There is little to separate the sides: Lincoln City 34%, the draw 26%, West Ham 40%.

No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.

Goals in Lincoln City vs West Ham

Expected goals are 1.4 for Lincoln City and 1.5 for West Ham, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 53%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 55%.

Lincoln City vs West Ham correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 12%, ahead of 1-2 (9%) and 0-1 (8%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.

Form: Lincoln City and West Ham in their last five

Lincoln City have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +1. West Ham are unbeaten in 5 (4 wins, 1 draw), with 18 goals scored and 6 conceded. The results cover every competition in our data.

Lincoln City: last five matches

West Ham: last five matches

Lincoln City vs West Ham head to head

Lincoln City and West Ham have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.

The rest of the EFL Championship is on our Championship page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with MegaPari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.