EFL Championship
Middlesbrough vs Wolves prediction: EFL Championship, Saturday 10 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Middlesbrough host Wolves in the EFL Championship on Saturday 10 October, kick-off 17:00 EAT.
Our tips for this match
- Both teams to score: yes · 59% · Fair odds 1.71 · MegaPari 1.49
Who will win Middlesbrough vs Wolves?
There is little to separate the sides: Middlesbrough 43%, the draw 26%, Wolves 31%. MegaPari's 2.22 on Middlesbrough is shorter than our fair price of 2.33: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.
One market clears our thresholds for this match: both teams to score: yes (59%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | MegaPari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough to win | 43% | 2.33 | 2.22 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.85 | 3.60 |
| Wolves to win | 31% | 3.21 | 2.93 |
| Middlesbrough or draw | 69% | 1.45 | 1.37 |
| Draw or Wolves | 57% | 1.75 | 1.61 |
| Middlesbrough or Wolves | 74% | 1.35 | 1.26 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 | 1.14 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 1.78 | 1.58 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 44% | 2.28 | 2.29 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 69% | 1.44 | 1.47 |
| Both teams to score: yes Tip | 59% | 1.71 | 1.49 |
| Both teams to score: no | 41% | 2.41 | 2.44 |
Odds: MegaPari, as of 7 October 2026, 20:54 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Middlesbrough vs Wolves
Expected goals are 1.5 for Middlesbrough and 1.2 for Wolves, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 56%. Both teams score in this match with a probability of 59%.
Middlesbrough vs Wolves correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 12%, ahead of 2-1 (9%) and 1-0 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 12.3% | 8.14 |
| 2-1 | 9.1% | 10.96 |
| 1-0 | 9.0% | 11.10 |
| 1-2 | 7.4% | 13.57 |
| 2-0 | 7.3% | 13.68 |
Form: Middlesbrough and Wolves in their last five
Middlesbrough are unbeaten in 5 (2 wins, 3 draws), with 10 goals scored and 8 conceded. Wolves have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +3. The results cover every competition in our data.
Middlesbrough: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | Birmingham City (away)EFL Championship | 2-2 | D |
| 15 Sep 2026 | Millwall (home)EFL Championship | 2-2 | D |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Norwich City (home)EFL Championship | 4-3 | W |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Queens Park Rangers (away)EFL Championship | 1-0 | W |
| 2 Sep 2026 | Burnley (away)EFL Championship | 1-1 | D |
Wolves: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2026 | West Bromwich Albion (home)EFL Championship | 1-0 | W |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Sheffield United (away)EFL Championship | 1-0 | W |
| 6 Sep 2026 | Birmingham City (away)EFL Championship | 2-2 | D |
| 1 Sep 2026 | West Ham (away)EFL Championship | 2-4 | L |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Stoke City (home)EFL Championship | 4-1 | W |
Middlesbrough vs Wolves head to head
Middlesbrough and Wolves have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.
The rest of the EFL Championship is on our Championship page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with MegaPari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is MegaPari.
Promo code: TIPSQUANT