Tanzanian Premier League
Namungo vs TRA United prediction: Tanzanian Premier League, Thursday 8 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Namungo host TRA United in the Tanzanian Premier League on Thursday 8 October, kick-off 18:30 EAT. Namungo are 13th in the table with 6 points from 7 games; TRA United are 12th with 6.
Our tips for this match
- Draw · 33% · Fair odds 3.05 · MegaPari 2.81
- Under 2.5 goals · 63% · Fair odds 1.58 · MegaPari 1.41
- Under 3.5 goals · 83% · Fair odds 1.20 · MegaPari 1.11
Who will win Namungo vs TRA United?
There is little to separate the sides: Namungo 34%, the draw 33%, TRA United 34%. At 33% the draw is a real option, more likely than in most matches. MegaPari's 2.34 on TRA United is shorter than our fair price of 2.97: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.
Three markets clear our thresholds for this match: draw (33%), under 2.5 goals (63%) and under 3.5 goals (83%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | MegaPari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Namungo to win | 34% | 2.98 | 3.06 |
| Draw Tip | 33% | 3.05 | 2.81 |
| TRA United to win | 34% | 2.97 | 2.34 |
| Namungo or draw | 66% | 1.51 | 1.45 |
| Draw or TRA United | 66% | 1.50 | 1.28 |
| Namungo or TRA United | 67% | 1.49 | 1.31 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 64% | 1.57 | 1.51 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 37% | 2.74 | 2.52 |
| Under 2.5 goals Tip | 63% | 1.58 | 1.41 |
| Under 3.5 goals Tip | 83% | 1.20 | 1.11 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 45% | 2.24 | 2.09 |
| Both teams to score: no | 55% | 1.81 | 1.63 |
Odds: MegaPari, as of 7 October 2026, 20:54 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Namungo vs TRA United
The numbers point to a tight game: expected goals of 1.0 and 0.8, and under 2.5 goals at 63%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 45%.
Namungo vs TRA United correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 0-0 at 17%, ahead of 1-0 (15%) and 1-1 (14%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 6 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | 16.6% | 6.04 |
| 1-0 | 15.4% | 6.48 |
| 1-1 | 13.9% | 7.22 |
| 0-1 | 12.8% | 7.78 |
| 2-0 | 8.0% | 12.58 |
Form: Namungo and TRA United in their last five
Namungo have won 1 and lost 4 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -4. TRA United have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +0. The results cover every competition in our data.
Namungo: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep 2026 | Dodoma Jiji (away)Tanzanian Premier League | 0-1 | L |
| 7 Sep 2026 | Azam (away)Tanzanian Premier League | 0-2 | L |
| 1 Sep 2026 | Singida BS (away)Tanzanian Premier League | 2-3 | L |
| 29 Aug 2026 | JKT Tanzania (away)Tanzanian Premier League | 1-2 | L |
| 25 Aug 2026 | Fountain Gate (home)Tanzanian Premier League | 1-0 | W |
TRA United: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep 2026 | Pamba Jiji (away)Tanzanian Premier League | 3-1 | W |
| 4 Sep 2026 | Mbeya City (home)Tanzanian Premier League | 0-0 | D |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Dodoma Jiji (home)Tanzanian Premier League | 0-1 | L |
| 24 Aug 2026 | Coastal Union (away)Tanzanian Premier League | 1-1 | D |
| 20 Aug 2026 | Azam (away)Tanzanian Premier League | 1-2 | L |
Namungo vs TRA United head to head
In their last six meetings in our data, Namungo won 1, TRA United won 3 and 2 were drawn. The most recent, on 16 June 2026, finished Namungo 0–0 TRA United.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun 2026 | Namungo – TRA UnitedTanzanian Premier League | 0-0 |
| 11 Mar 2026 | TRA United – NamungoTanzanian Premier League | 2-0 |
| 5 Feb 2025 | TRA United – NamungoTanzanian Premier League | 2-1 |
| 25 Aug 2024 | Namungo – TRA UnitedTanzanian Premier League | 1-2 |
| 28 May 2024 | Namungo – TRA UnitedTanzanian Premier League | 3-2 |
| 11 Feb 2024 | TRA United – NamungoTanzanian Premier League | 1-1 |
The rest of the Tanzanian Premier League is on our NBC Premier League page, every match tomorrow is priced on Tomorrow and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with MegaPari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is MegaPari.
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