Tanzanian Premier League
Pamba Jiji vs Geita Gold prediction: Tanzanian Premier League, Thursday 8 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Pamba Jiji
Geita Gold
- Pamba Jiji
- 33%MegaPari 2.49
- Draw
- 29%MegaPari 3.00
- Geita Gold
- 39%MegaPari 2.58
No tip: no market clears our thresholds for this match.
xG 1.1–1.4 · likeliest 1-1 (13%)
Pamba Jiji host Geita Gold in the Tanzanian Premier League on Thursday 8 October, kick-off 16:15 EAT. Pamba Jiji are 16th in the table with 1 points from 6 games; Geita Gold are 9th with 7.
Who will win Pamba Jiji vs Geita Gold?
There is little to separate the sides: Pamba Jiji 33%, the draw 29%, Geita Gold 39%. MegaPari's 2.58 on Geita Gold sits right on our fair price of 2.59.
No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | MegaPari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pamba Jiji to win | 33% | 3.06 | 2.49 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.48 | 3.00 |
| Geita Gold to win | 39% | 2.59 | 2.58 |
| Pamba Jiji or draw | 61% | 1.63 | 1.36 |
| Draw or Geita Gold | 67% | 1.48 | 1.39 |
| Pamba Jiji or Geita Gold | 71% | 1.40 | 1.27 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% | 1.38 | 1.38 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.23 | 2.22 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.81 | 1.56 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50% | 1.99 | 1.90 |
| Both teams to score: no | 50% | 2.01 | 1.78 |
Odds: MegaPari, as of 7 October 2026, 22:36 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Pamba Jiji vs Geita Gold
Expected goals are 1.1 for Pamba Jiji and 1.4 for Geita Gold, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 45%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 50%.
Pamba Jiji vs Geita Gold correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 13%, ahead of 0-1 (11%) and 0-0 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 13.2% | 7.58 |
| 0-1 | 11.0% | 9.11 |
| 0-0 | 8.8% | 11.35 |
| 1-2 | 8.8% | 11.39 |
| 1-0 | 8.7% | 11.53 |
Form: Pamba Jiji and Geita Gold in their last five
Pamba Jiji have not won in 5 (0 draws, 5 defeats) and scored 3 in that run. Geita Gold have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +0. The results cover every competition in our data.
Pamba Jiji: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep 2026 | TRA United (home)Tanzanian Premier League | 1-3 | L |
| 5 Sep 2026 | JKT Tanzania (away)Tanzanian Premier League | 0-3 | L |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Young Africans (away)Tanzanian Premier League | 0-2 | L |
| 23 Aug 2026 | Azam (away)Tanzanian Premier League | 1-2 | L |
| 19 Aug 2026 | Simba (home)Tanzanian Premier League | 1-2 | L |
Geita Gold: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep 2026 | Young Africans (away)Tanzanian Premier League | 0-1 | L |
| 31 Aug 2026 | Simba (away)Tanzanian Premier League | 0-2 | L |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Azam (home)Tanzanian Premier League | 2-2 | D |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Kagera Sugar (home)Tanzanian Premier League | 6-2 | W |
| 18 Aug 2026 | Namungo (away)Tanzanian Premier League | 0-1 | L |
Pamba Jiji vs Geita Gold head to head
Pamba Jiji and Geita Gold have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.
The rest of the Tanzanian Premier League is on our NBC Premier League page, every match tomorrow is priced on Tomorrow and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with MegaPari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is MegaPari.
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