EFL Championship
Portsmouth vs Sheffield United prediction: EFL Championship, Wednesday 14 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Portsmouth
Sheffield United
- Portsmouth
- 37%MegaPari 2.40
- Draw
- 27%MegaPari 3.40
- Sheffield United
- 36%MegaPari 2.70
No tip: no market clears our thresholds for this match.
xG 1.3–1.4 · likeliest 1-1 (13%)
Portsmouth host Sheffield United in the EFL Championship on Wednesday 14 October, kick-off 21:45 EAT.
Who will win Portsmouth vs Sheffield United?
There is little to separate the sides: Portsmouth 37%, the draw 27%, Sheffield United 36%. MegaPari's 2.40 on Portsmouth is shorter than our fair price of 2.70: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.
No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | MegaPari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth to win | 37% | 2.70 | 2.40 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.71 | 3.40 |
| Sheffield United to win | 36% | 2.77 | 2.70 |
| Portsmouth or draw | 64% | 1.56 | – |
| Draw or Sheffield United | 63% | 1.59 | – |
| Portsmouth or Sheffield United | 73% | 1.37 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 1.33 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.93 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.08 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 70% | 1.42 | – |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | 1.83 | – |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | 2.20 | – |
Odds: MegaPari, as of 8 October 2026, 00:41 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Portsmouth vs Sheffield United
Expected goals are 1.3 for Portsmouth and 1.4 for Sheffield United, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 52%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 55%.
Portsmouth vs Sheffield United correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 13%, ahead of 0-1 (9%) and 1-2 (8%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 12.7% | 7.89 |
| 0-1 | 8.7% | 11.53 |
| 1-2 | 8.4% | 11.86 |
| 1-0 | 8.3% | 12.00 |
| 2-1 | 8.1% | 12.32 |
Form: Portsmouth and Sheffield United in their last five
Portsmouth have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -1. Sheffield United have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -2. The results cover every competition in our data.
Portsmouth: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | Blackburn Rovers (home)EFL Championship | 2-2 | D |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Charlton Athletic (away)EFL Championship | 0-0 | D |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Cardiff City (home)EFL Championship | 2-0 | W |
| 1 Sep 2026 | Derby County (home)EFL Championship | 0-2 | L |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Bristol City (away)EFL Championship | 1-2 | L |
Sheffield United: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | Stoke City (away)EFL Championship | 1-2 | L |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Wolves (home)EFL Championship | 0-1 | L |
| 8 Sep 2026 | Blackburn Rovers (away)EFL Championship | 2-1 | W |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Norwich City (home)EFL Championship | 1-3 | L |
| 1 Sep 2026 | Bolton Wanderers (home)EFL Championship | 3-2 | W |
Portsmouth vs Sheffield United head to head
In their last four meetings in our data, Portsmouth won none, Sheffield United won 3 and 1 was drawn. The most recent, on 14 February 2026, finished Portsmouth 0–1 Sheffield United.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb 2026 | Portsmouth – Sheffield UnitedEFL Championship | 0-1 |
| 26 Nov 2025 | Sheffield United – PortsmouthEFL Championship | 3-0 |
| 8 Feb 2025 | Sheffield United – PortsmouthEFL Championship | 2-1 |
| 28 Sep 2024 | Portsmouth – Sheffield UnitedEFL Championship | 0-0 |
The rest of the EFL Championship is on our Championship page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with MegaPari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is MegaPari.
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