EFL Championship
Preston North End vs Millwall prediction: EFL Championship, Saturday 10 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Preston North End host Millwall in the EFL Championship on Saturday 10 October, kick-off 17:00 EAT.
Our tips for this match
No tip: no market clears our thresholds for this match.
Who will win Preston North End vs Millwall?
There is little to separate the sides: Preston North End 32%, the draw 28%, Millwall 40%. MegaPari's 2.44 on Millwall sits right on our fair price of 2.48.
No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | MegaPari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Preston North End to win | 32% | 3.12 | 2.73 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.61 | 3.34 |
| Millwall to win | 40% | 2.48 | 2.44 |
| Preston North End or draw | 60% | 1.68 | 1.51 |
| Draw or Millwall | 68% | 1.47 | 1.42 |
| Preston North End or Millwall | 72% | 1.38 | 1.30 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 | 1.23 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 1.99 | 1.82 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50% | 2.01 | 1.92 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 | 1.32 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | 1.83 | 1.64 |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | 2.20 | 2.13 |
Odds: MegaPari, as of 7 October 2026, 20:54 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Preston North End vs Millwall
Expected goals are 1.1 for Preston North End and 1.4 for Millwall, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 50%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 55%.
Preston North End vs Millwall correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 13%, ahead of 0-1 (11%) and 1-2 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 13.1% | 7.63 |
| 0-1 | 10.6% | 9.43 |
| 1-2 | 8.8% | 11.35 |
| 1-0 | 8.5% | 11.76 |
| 0-0 | 8.5% | 11.83 |
Form: Preston North End and Millwall in their last five
Preston North End have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -3. Millwall have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -1. The results cover every competition in our data.
Preston North End: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | Queens Park Rangers (away)EFL Championship | 2-2 | D |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Lincoln City (home)EFL Championship | 0-1 | L |
| 8 Sep 2026 | Watford (away)EFL Championship | 1-2 | L |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Blackburn Rovers (home)EFL Championship | 2-1 | W |
| 1 Sep 2026 | Bristol City (home)EFL Championship | 1-3 | L |
Millwall: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | West Ham (home)EFL Championship | 2-2 | D |
| 15 Sep 2026 | Middlesbrough (away)EFL Championship | 2-2 | D |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Blackburn Rovers (away)EFL Championship | 1-3 | L |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Bolton Wanderers (home)EFL Championship | 4-0 | W |
| 2 Sep 2026 | Wrexham (home)EFL Championship | 0-3 | L |
Preston North End vs Millwall head to head
In their last six meetings in our data, Preston North End won none, Millwall won 2 and 4 were drawn. The most recent, on 28 February 2026, finished Preston North End 0–2 Millwall.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb 2026 | Preston North End – MillwallEFL Championship | 0-2 |
| 8 Nov 2025 | Millwall – Preston North EndEFL Championship | 1-1 |
| 18 Feb 2025 | Preston North End – MillwallEFL Championship | 1-1 |
| 28 Sep 2024 | Millwall – Preston North EndEFL Championship | 3-1 |
| 27 Jan 2024 | Millwall – Preston North EndEFL Championship | 1-1 |
| 21 Oct 2023 | Preston North End – MillwallEFL Championship | 1-1 |
The rest of the EFL Championship is on our Championship page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with MegaPari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is MegaPari.
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