UEFA Champions League
Real Betis vs Porto prediction: UEFA Champions League, Wednesday 14 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Real Betis
Porto
- Real Betis
- 39%MegaPari 2.27
- Draw
- 28%MegaPari 3.72
- Porto
- 34%MegaPari 3.27
No tip: no market clears our thresholds for this match.
xG 1.2–1.2 · likeliest 1-1 (14%)
Real Betis host Porto in the UEFA Champions League on Wednesday 14 October, kick-off 22:00 EAT. The match is played at La Cartuja (Sevilla). Real Betis are 11th in the table with 3 points from 1 games; Porto are 31st with 0.
Who will win Real Betis vs Porto?
There is little to separate the sides: Real Betis 39%, the draw 28%, Porto 34%. MegaPari's 2.27 on Real Betis is shorter than our fair price of 2.59: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.
No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | MegaPari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Betis to win | 39% | 2.59 | 2.27 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.62 | 3.72 |
| Porto to win | 34% | 2.96 | 3.27 |
| Real Betis or draw | 66% | 1.51 | 1.39 |
| Draw or Porto | 61% | 1.63 | 1.71 |
| Real Betis or Porto | 72% | 1.38 | 1.32 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% | 1.40 | 1.18 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.96 | 1.78 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.05 | 2.21 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 75% | 1.33 | 1.40 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | 1.80 | 1.57 |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | 2.24 | 2.28 |
Odds: MegaPari, as of 8 October 2026, 00:41 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Real Betis vs Porto
Expected goals are 1.2 for Real Betis and 1.2 for Porto, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 51%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 55%.
Real Betis vs Porto correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 14%, ahead of 0-1 (11%) and 1-0 (10%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 7 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 13.6% | 7.36 |
| 0-1 | 10.8% | 9.29 |
| 1-0 | 10.1% | 9.94 |
| 0-0 | 9.7% | 10.34 |
| 1-2 | 8.1% | 12.39 |
Form: Real Betis and Porto in their last five
Real Betis are unbeaten in 5 (4 wins, 1 draw), with 8 goals scored and 4 conceded. Porto have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +7. The results cover every competition in our data.
Real Betis: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2026 | Deportivo de A Coruna (away)LaLiga | 1-1 | D |
| 17 Sep 2026 | Getafe (home)LaLiga | 1-0 | W |
| 14 Sep 2026 | Villarreal (away)LaLiga | 2-1 | W |
| 8 Sep 2026 | Lille (away)UEFA Champions League | 3-2 | W |
| 4 Sep 2026 | Real Madrid (home)LaLiga | 1-0 | W |
Porto: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2026 | Benfica (home)Primeira Liga | 3-1 | W |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Casa Pia (away)Primeira Liga | 4-1 | W |
| 8 Sep 2026 | Man City (home)UEFA Champions League | 0-2 | L |
| 4 Sep 2026 | Moreirense (home)Primeira Liga | 2-1 | W |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Academico de Viseu (away)Primeira Liga | 3-0 | W |
Real Betis vs Porto head to head
Real Betis and Porto have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.
The rest of the UEFA Champions League is on our Champions League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with MegaPari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is MegaPari.
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