Belgian Pro League
S.K. Beveren vs Lommel SK prediction: Belgian Pro League, Friday 9 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
S.K. Beveren host Lommel SK in the Belgian Pro League on Friday 9 October, kick-off 21:45 EAT. The match is played at Freethiel (Beveren). S.K. Beveren are 9th in the table with 9 points from 7 games; Lommel SK are 12th with 8.
Our tips for this match
No tip: no market clears our thresholds for this match.
Who will win S.K. Beveren vs Lommel SK?
S.K. Beveren are favourites, though not by much: 52% to win, 25% for the draw and 23% for Lommel SK. MegaPari's 1.79 on S.K. Beveren is shorter than our fair price of 1.91: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.
No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | MegaPari |
|---|---|---|---|
| S.K. Beveren to win | 52% | 1.91 | 1.79 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.06 | 3.94 |
| Lommel SK to win | 23% | 4.33 | 4.12 |
| S.K. Beveren or draw | 77% | 1.30 | 1.23 |
| Draw or Lommel SK | 48% | 2.10 | 2.00 |
| S.K. Beveren or Lommel SK | 75% | 1.33 | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 1.33 | 1.15 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.83 | 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.20 | 2.21 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 70% | 1.42 | 1.41 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | 1.79 | 1.59 |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | 2.27 | 2.21 |
Odds: MegaPari, as of 7 October 2026, 20:54 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in S.K. Beveren vs Lommel SK
Expected goals are 1.7 for S.K. Beveren and 1.1 for Lommel SK, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 55%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 56%.
S.K. Beveren vs Lommel SK correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 12%, ahead of 1-0 (11%) and 2-1 (10%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 12.0% | 8.35 |
| 1-0 | 10.5% | 9.48 |
| 2-1 | 9.7% | 10.35 |
| 2-0 | 9.2% | 10.83 |
| 0-0 | 7.0% | 14.22 |
Form: S.K. Beveren and Lommel SK in their last five
S.K. Beveren have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -4. Lommel SK have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -1. The results cover every competition in our data.
S.K. Beveren: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2026 | KV Kortrijk (away)Belgian Pro League | 0-1 | L |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Sint-Truidense (home)Belgian Pro League | 2-0 | W |
| 6 Sep 2026 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven (home)Belgian Pro League | 3-0 | W |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Genk (away)Belgian Pro League | 0-4 | L |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Zulte Waregem (away)Belgian Pro League | 0-4 | L |
Lommel SK: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | Mechelen (home)Belgian Pro League | 0-0 | D |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Union Saint-Gilloise (away)Belgian Pro League | 0-5 | L |
| 4 Sep 2026 | Club Brugge (home)Belgian Pro League | 0-1 | L |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Cercle Brugge (away)Belgian Pro League | 1-0 | W |
| 23 Aug 2026 | K.V.C. Westerlo (home)Belgian Pro League | 4-0 | W |
S.K. Beveren vs Lommel SK head to head
In their last two meetings in our data, S.K. Beveren won 1, Lommel SK won none and 1 was drawn. The most recent, on 8 February 2026, finished S.K. Beveren 2–0 Lommel SK.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 8 Feb 2026 | S.K. Beveren – Lommel SKChallenger Pro League | 2-0 |
| 7 Nov 2025 | Lommel SK – S.K. BeverenChallenger Pro League | 2-2 |
All the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with MegaPari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is MegaPari.
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