Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor prediction: Süper Lig, Saturday 10 October

Samsunspor host Trabzonspor in the Süper Lig on Saturday 10 October, kick-off 16:00 EAT. The match is played at 19 Mayıs (Samsun). Samsunspor are 16th in the table with 4 points from 6 games; Trabzonspor are 7th with 10.

Who will win Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor?

There is little to separate the sides: Samsunspor 32%, the draw 26%, Trabzonspor 43%. MegaPari's 2.06 on Trabzonspor is shorter than our fair price of 2.34: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.

No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.

Odds: MegaPari, as of 7 October 2026, 22:36 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor

Expected goals are 1.4 for Samsunspor and 1.4 for Trabzonspor, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 55%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 57%.

Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 12%, ahead of 1-2 (9%) and 2-1 (8%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.

Form: Samsunspor and Trabzonspor in their last five

Samsunspor have won 1 and lost 4 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -6. Trabzonspor have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +3. The results cover every competition in our data.

Samsunspor: last five matches

Trabzonspor: last five matches

Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor head to head

In their last four meetings in our data, Samsunspor won 1, Trabzonspor won 1 and 2 were drawn. The most recent, on 7 February 2026, finished Samsunspor 0–3 Trabzonspor.

All the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with MegaPari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.