EFL Championship
Sheffield United vs Lincoln City prediction: EFL Championship, Saturday 10 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Sheffield United
Lincoln City
- Sheffield United
- 40%MegaPari 2.07
- Draw
- 28%MegaPari 3.40
- Lincoln City
- 32%MegaPari 3.42
No tip: no market clears our thresholds for this match.
xG 1.2–1.3 · likeliest 1-1 (13%)
Sheffield United host Lincoln City in the EFL Championship on Saturday 10 October, kick-off 17:00 EAT.
Who will win Sheffield United vs Lincoln City?
There is little to separate the sides: Sheffield United 40%, the draw 28%, Lincoln City 32%. MegaPari's 2.07 on Sheffield United is shorter than our fair price of 2.50: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.
No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | MegaPari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United to win | 40% | 2.50 | 2.07 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| Lincoln City to win | 32% | 3.10 | 3.42 |
| Sheffield United or draw | 68% | 1.48 | 1.28 |
| Draw or Lincoln City | 60% | 1.66 | 1.71 |
| Sheffield United or Lincoln City | 72% | 1.39 | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% | 1.38 | 1.27 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.07 | 1.94 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.93 | 1.80 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | 1.90 | 1.76 |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | 2.11 | 1.96 |
Odds: MegaPari, as of 7 October 2026, 22:36 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Sheffield United vs Lincoln City
Expected goals are 1.2 for Sheffield United and 1.3 for Lincoln City, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 48%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 53%.
Sheffield United vs Lincoln City correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 13%, ahead of 0-1 (10%) and 1-0 (10%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 7 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 13.4% | 7.48 |
| 0-1 | 10.1% | 9.95 |
| 1-0 | 9.6% | 10.41 |
| 0-0 | 8.8% | 11.33 |
| 1-2 | 8.2% | 12.25 |
Form: Sheffield United and Lincoln City in their last five
Sheffield United have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -2. Lincoln City have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +1. The results cover every competition in our data.
Sheffield United: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | Stoke City (away)EFL Championship | 1-2 | L |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Wolves (home)EFL Championship | 0-1 | L |
| 8 Sep 2026 | Blackburn Rovers (away)EFL Championship | 2-1 | W |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Norwich City (home)EFL Championship | 1-3 | L |
| 1 Sep 2026 | Bolton Wanderers (home)EFL Championship | 3-2 | W |
Lincoln City: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | Swansea City (home)EFL Championship | 1-2 | L |
| 15 Sep 2026 | Bristol City (away)EFL Championship | 1-0 | W |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Preston North End (away)EFL Championship | 1-0 | W |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Southampton (home)EFL Championship | 1-1 | D |
| 1 Sep 2026 | Blackburn Rovers (home)EFL Championship | 0-0 | D |
Sheffield United vs Lincoln City head to head
Sheffield United and Lincoln City have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.
How the odds have moved
MegaPari's price on Sheffield United has drifted from 2.01 to 2.07 since the line opened: the market rates them lower than it did at the open. Over 2.5 goals has moved from 1.87 to 1.94, so the market now expects fewer goals than at the open.
| Bet | Opening odds | Latest odds |
|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United to win | 2.01 | 2.07 ↑ |
| Draw | 3.48 | 3.40 ↓ |
| Lincoln City to win | 3.50 | 3.42 ↓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.87 | 1.94 ↑ |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.87 | 1.80 ↓ |
| Both teams to score: yes | 1.71 | 1.76 ↑ |
| Both teams to score: no | 2.02 | 1.96 ↓ |
Prices from MegaPari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.
The rest of the EFL Championship is on our Championship page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with MegaPari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is MegaPari.
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