Tanzanian Premier League
Simba vs Mashujaa prediction: Tanzanian Premier League, Tuesday 13 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Simba host Mashujaa in the Tanzanian Premier League on Tuesday 13 October, kick-off 19:00 EAT. Simba are 2nd in the table with 18 points from 6 games; Mashujaa are 8th with 9.
Our tips for this match
- Simba to win · 77% · Fair odds 1.30
- Simba or draw · 96% · Fair odds 1.04
- Under 3.5 goals · 80% · Fair odds 1.25
- Both teams to score: no · 65% · Fair odds 1.54
Who will win Simba vs Mashujaa?
The model makes Simba clear favourites at 77%, with the draw at 19% and Mashujaa at 4%.
Four markets clear our thresholds for this match: Simba to win (77%), Simba or draw (96%), under 3.5 goals (80%) and both teams to score: no (65%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Simba to win Tip | 77% | 1.30 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.17 |
| Mashujaa to win | 4% | 25.38 |
| Simba or draw Tip | 96% | 1.04 |
| Draw or Mashujaa | 23% | 4.30 |
| Simba or Mashujaa | 81% | 1.24 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67% | 1.49 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% | 2.42 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 59% | 1.71 |
| Under 3.5 goals Tip | 80% | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 35% | 2.86 |
| Both teams to score: no Tip | 65% | 1.54 |
Goals in Simba vs Mashujaa
The numbers point to a tight game: expected goals of 1.8 and 0.2, and under 2.5 goals at 59%. Mashujaa may struggle to score at all: both teams to score is only 35%.
Simba vs Mashujaa correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-0 at 23%, ahead of 2-0 (21%) and 0-0 (13%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 4 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | 23.1% | 4.34 |
| 2-0 | 21.2% | 4.72 |
| 0-0 | 13.0% | 7.69 |
| 3-0 | 12.9% | 7.78 |
| 4-0 | 5.9% | 17.09 |
Form: Simba and Mashujaa in their last five
Simba have won all of their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 2. Mashujaa have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -1. The results cover every competition in our data.
Simba: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep 2026 | Azam (away)Tanzanian Premier League | 2-0 | W |
| 31 Aug 2026 | Geita Gold (home)Tanzanian Premier League | 2-0 | W |
| 27 Aug 2026 | Coastal Union (home)Tanzanian Premier League | 1-0 | W |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Singida BS (away)Tanzanian Premier League | 2-1 | W |
| 19 Aug 2026 | Pamba Jiji (away)Tanzanian Premier League | 2-1 | W |
Mashujaa: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Sep 2026 | Singida BS (home)Tanzanian Premier League | 2-1 | W |
| 4 Sep 2026 | Dodoma Jiji (away)Tanzanian Premier League | 0-1 | L |
| 27 Aug 2026 | Kagera Sugar (home)Tanzanian Premier League | 2-1 | W |
| 23 Aug 2026 | Mbeya City (away)Tanzanian Premier League | 1-2 | L |
| 18 Aug 2026 | Fountain Gate (away)Tanzanian Premier League | 0-1 | L |
Simba vs Mashujaa head to head
In their last six meetings in our data, Simba won 6, Mashujaa won none and none was drawn. The most recent, on 14 May 2026, finished Mashujaa 0–3 Simba.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 14 May 2026 | Mashujaa – SimbaTanzanian Premier League | 0-3 |
| 29 Jan 2026 | Simba – MashujaaTanzanian Premier League | 2-0 |
| 2 May 2025 | Simba – MashujaaTanzanian Premier League | 2-1 |
| 1 Nov 2024 | Mashujaa – SimbaTanzanian Premier League | 0-1 |
| 15 Mar 2024 | Simba – MashujaaTanzanian Premier League | 2-0 |
| 3 Feb 2024 | Mashujaa – SimbaTanzanian Premier League | 0-1 |
The rest of the Tanzanian Premier League is on our NBC Premier League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with MegaPari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is MegaPari.
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