Simba vs Young Africans prediction: Tanzanian Premier League, Saturday 10 October

Simba host Young Africans in the Tanzanian Premier League on Saturday 10 October, kick-off 19:00 EAT. Simba are 2nd in the table with 18 points from 6 games; Young Africans are 1st with 18.

Our tips for this match

• Draw · 37% · Fair odds 2.71
• Under 2.5 goals · 68% · Fair odds 1.47
• Under 3.5 goals · 87% · Fair odds 1.15

Who will win Simba vs Young Africans?

There is little to separate the sides: Simba 32%, the draw 37%, Young Africans 31%. At 37% the draw is a real option, more likely than in most matches.

Three markets clear our thresholds for this match: draw (37%), under 2.5 goals (68%) and under 3.5 goals (87%).

Goals in Simba vs Young Africans

The numbers point to a tight game: expected goals of 0.8 and 0.8, and under 2.5 goals at 68%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 42%.

Simba vs Young Africans correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 0-0 at 22%, ahead of 1-0 (16%) and 0-1 (16%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 5 matches like this one.

Form: Simba and Young Africans in their last five

Simba have won all of their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 2. Young Africans have won all of their last 5, scoring 13 and conceding 1. The results cover every competition in our data.

Simba: last five matches

Young Africans: last five matches

Simba vs Young Africans head to head

In their last six meetings in our data, Simba won none, Young Africans won 4 and 2 were drawn. The most recent, on 3 May 2026, finished Simba 2–2 Young Africans.

The rest of the Tanzanian Premier League is on our NBC Premier League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with MegaPari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.