Eredivisie
Telstar vs ADO Den Haag prediction: Eredivisie, Sunday 11 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Telstar host ADO Den Haag in Eredivisie on Sunday 11 October, kick-off 15:30 EAT. The match is played at BUKO (Velsen-Zuid). Telstar are 13th in the table with 5 points from 7 games; ADO Den Haag are 17th with 2.
Our tips for this match
- Both teams to score: yes · 59% · Fair odds 1.71 · MegaPari 1.43
Who will win Telstar vs ADO Den Haag?
Telstar are favourites, though not by much: 45% to win, 26% for the draw and 28% for ADO Den Haag. MegaPari's 1.99 on Telstar is shorter than our fair price of 2.21: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.
One market clears our thresholds for this match: both teams to score: yes (59%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | MegaPari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Telstar to win | 45% | 2.21 | 1.99 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.78 | 3.74 |
| ADO Den Haag to win | 28% | 3.54 | 3.50 |
| Telstar or draw | 72% | 1.39 | 1.31 |
| Draw or ADO Den Haag | 55% | 1.83 | 1.82 |
| Telstar or ADO Den Haag | 74% | 1.36 | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 | 1.10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 1.79 | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 44% | 2.26 | 2.42 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 73% | 1.36 | 1.64 |
| Both teams to score: yes Tip | 59% | 1.71 | 1.43 |
| Both teams to score: no | 41% | 2.42 | 2.63 |
Odds: MegaPari, as of 7 October 2026, 20:54 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Telstar vs ADO Den Haag
Expected goals are 1.4 for Telstar and 1.1 for ADO Den Haag, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 56%. Both teams score in this match with a probability of 59%.
Telstar vs ADO Den Haag correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 13%, ahead of 1-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 13.1% | 7.61 |
| 1-0 | 10.8% | 9.22 |
| 2-1 | 8.8% | 11.34 |
| 0-0 | 8.6% | 11.57 |
| 0-1 | 8.6% | 11.70 |
Form: Telstar and ADO Den Haag in their last five
Telstar have not won in 5 (2 draws, 3 defeats) and scored 2 in that run. ADO Den Haag have not won in 5 (2 draws, 3 defeats) and scored 6 in that run. The results cover every competition in our data.
Telstar: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2026 | AZ (away)Eredivisie | 0-1 | L |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Heerenveen (away)Eredivisie | 0-0 | D |
| 9 Sep 2026 | Twente (away)Eredivisie | 0-1 | L |
| 6 Sep 2026 | Cambuur (home)Eredivisie | 2-2 | D |
| 30 Aug 2026 | Ajax (home)Eredivisie | 0-4 | L |
ADO Den Haag: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | Cambuur (home)Eredivisie | 1-1 | D |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Twente (away)Eredivisie | 0-2 | L |
| 6 Sep 2026 | Fortuna Sittard (home)Eredivisie | 2-3 | L |
| 30 Aug 2026 | Feyenoord (away)Eredivisie | 2-2 | D |
| 23 Aug 2026 | Go Ahead Eagles (away)Eredivisie | 1-3 | L |
Telstar vs ADO Den Haag head to head
Telstar and ADO Den Haag have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.
All the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with MegaPari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is MegaPari.
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