URA vs KCCA prediction: Uganda Premier League, Friday 9 October

URA host KCCA in the Uganda Premier League on Friday 9 October, kick-off 20:00 EAT. URA are 14th in the table with 3 points from 3 games; KCCA are 12th with 4.

Our tips for this match

• Under 3.5 goals · 79% · Fair odds 1.27

Who will win URA vs KCCA?

There is little to separate the sides: URA 33%, the draw 31%, KCCA 37%. At 31% the draw is a real option, more likely than in most matches.

One market clears our thresholds for this match: under 3.5 goals (79%).

Goals in URA vs KCCA

Expected goals are 1.0 for URA and 1.1 for KCCA, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 43%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 49%.

URA vs KCCA correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 14%, ahead of 0-1 (12%) and 0-0 (12%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 7 matches like this one.

Form: URA and KCCA in their last five

URA have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +0. KCCA have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +0. The results cover every competition in our data.

URA: last five matches

KCCA: last five matches

URA vs KCCA head to head

In their last six meetings in our data, URA won 2, KCCA won 3 and 1 was drawn. The most recent, on 19 May 2026, finished URA 0–0 KCCA.

The rest of the Uganda Premier League is on our Uganda Premier League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with MegaPari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.