EFL Championship
West Ham vs Queens Park Rangers prediction: EFL Championship, Friday 9 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
West Ham host Queens Park Rangers in the EFL Championship on Friday 9 October, kick-off 22:00 EAT.
Who will win West Ham vs Queens Park Rangers?
The model makes West Ham clear favourites at 67%, with the draw at 19% and Queens Park Rangers at 14%. MegaPari's 1.49 on West Ham sits right on our fair price of 1.50.
Four markets clear our thresholds for this match: West Ham to win (67%), West Ham or draw (86%), over 1.5 goals (82%) and over 2.5 goals (62%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | MegaPari |
|---|---|---|---|
| West Ham to win Tip | 67% | 1.50 | 1.49 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.23 | 4.45 |
| Queens Park Rangers to win | 14% | 6.97 | 5.72 |
| West Ham or draw Tip | 86% | 1.17 | 1.11 |
| Draw or Queens Park Rangers | 33% | 2.99 | 2.51 |
| West Ham or Queens Park Rangers | 81% | 1.24 | 1.18 |
| Over 1.5 goals Tip | 82% | 1.22 | 1.12 |
| Over 2.5 goals Tip | 62% | 1.62 | 1.48 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.61 | 2.33 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 60% | 1.67 | 1.57 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | 1.78 | 1.62 |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | 2.29 | 2.16 |
Odds: MegaPari, as of 7 October 2026, 22:36 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in West Ham vs Queens Park Rangers
Goals are expected: 2.5 for West Ham and 1.0 for Queens Park Rangers, 3.5 in all, which puts over 2.5 goals at 62%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 56%.
West Ham vs Queens Park Rangers correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 2-0 at 10%, ahead of 2-1 (9%) and 3-0 (8%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 10 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 2-0 | 9.7% | 10.36 |
| 2-1 | 9.4% | 10.62 |
| 3-0 | 8.1% | 12.39 |
| 3-1 | 7.9% | 12.71 |
| 1-1 | 7.8% | 12.79 |
Form: West Ham and Queens Park Rangers in their last five
West Ham are unbeaten in 5 (4 wins, 1 draw), with 18 goals scored and 6 conceded. Queens Park Rangers have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +0. The results cover every competition in our data.
West Ham: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | Millwall (away)EFL Championship | 2-2 | D |
| 11 Sep 2026 | Wrexham (home)EFL Championship | 6-0 | W |
| 8 Sep 2026 | Bolton Wanderers (away)EFL Championship | 3-2 | W |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Derby County (home)EFL Championship | 3-0 | W |
| 1 Sep 2026 | Wolves (home)EFL Championship | 4-2 | W |
Queens Park Rangers: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | Preston North End (home)EFL Championship | 2-2 | D |
| 12 Sep 2026 | West Bromwich Albion (away)EFL Championship | 1-1 | D |
| 9 Sep 2026 | Charlton Athletic (away)EFL Championship | 0-0 | D |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Middlesbrough (home)EFL Championship | 0-1 | L |
| 2 Sep 2026 | Cardiff City (home)EFL Championship | 2-1 | W |
West Ham vs Queens Park Rangers head to head
West Ham and Queens Park Rangers have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.
How the odds have moved
MegaPari's price on West Ham has shortened from 1.54 to 1.49 since the line opened: the market has moved towards them. Over 2.5 goals has moved from 1.50 to 1.48, so the market now expects more goals than at the open.
| Bet | Opening odds | Latest odds |
|---|---|---|
| West Ham to win | 1.54 | 1.49 ↓ |
| Draw | 4.33 | 4.45 ↑ |
| Queens Park Rangers to win | 5.25 | 5.72 ↑ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.50 | 1.48 ↓ |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.28 | 2.33 ↑ |
| Both teams to score: yes | 1.61 | 1.62 ↑ |
| Both teams to score: no | 2.18 | 2.16 ↓ |
Prices from MegaPari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.
The rest of the EFL Championship is on our Championship page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with MegaPari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is MegaPari.
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