EFL Championship
Wolves vs Bolton Wanderers prediction: EFL Championship, Tuesday 13 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Wolves host Bolton Wanderers in the EFL Championship on Tuesday 13 October, kick-off 21:45 EAT.
Our tips for this match
- Wolves to win · 62% · Fair odds 1.62 · MegaPari 1.40
- Wolves or draw · 83% · Fair odds 1.20
Who will win Wolves vs Bolton Wanderers?
The model makes Wolves clear favourites at 62%, with the draw at 21% and Bolton Wanderers at 17%. MegaPari's 1.40 on Wolves is shorter than our fair price of 1.62: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.
Two markets clear our thresholds for this match: Wolves to win (62%) and Wolves or draw (83%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | MegaPari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wolves to win Tip | 62% | 1.62 | 1.40 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.66 | 4.70 |
| Bolton Wanderers to win | 17% | 5.95 | 6.83 |
| Wolves or draw Tip | 83% | 1.20 | – |
| Draw or Bolton Wanderers | 38% | 2.61 | – |
| Wolves or Bolton Wanderers | 79% | 1.27 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | 1.29 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.82 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.22 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 67% | 1.48 | – |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | 1.84 | – |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | 2.19 | – |
Odds: MegaPari, as of 7 October 2026, 20:54 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Wolves vs Bolton Wanderers
Expected goals are 1.9 for Wolves and 1.0 for Bolton Wanderers, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 55%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 54%.
Wolves vs Bolton Wanderers correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 11%, ahead of 2-1 (10%) and 1-0 (10%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 9 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 10.9% | 9.17 |
| 2-1 | 9.9% | 10.08 |
| 1-0 | 9.7% | 10.32 |
| 2-0 | 9.6% | 10.45 |
| 3-1 | 6.3% | 15.97 |
Form: Wolves and Bolton Wanderers in their last five
Wolves have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +3. Bolton Wanderers have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -4. The results cover every competition in our data.
Wolves: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2026 | West Bromwich Albion (home)EFL Championship | 1-0 | W |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Sheffield United (away)EFL Championship | 1-0 | W |
| 6 Sep 2026 | Birmingham City (away)EFL Championship | 2-2 | D |
| 1 Sep 2026 | West Ham (away)EFL Championship | 2-4 | L |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Stoke City (home)EFL Championship | 4-1 | W |
Bolton Wanderers: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2026 | Norwich City (away)EFL Championship | 4-3 | W |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Cardiff City (home)EFL Championship | 1-0 | W |
| 8 Sep 2026 | West Ham (home)EFL Championship | 2-3 | L |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Millwall (away)EFL Championship | 0-4 | L |
| 1 Sep 2026 | Sheffield United (away)EFL Championship | 2-3 | L |
Wolves vs Bolton Wanderers head to head
Wolves and Bolton Wanderers have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.
The rest of the EFL Championship is on our Championship page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with MegaPari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is MegaPari.
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